APi Group Corp
NYSE:APG

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APi Group Corp
NYSE:APG
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Price: 40.4 USD 1.18% Market Closed
Market Cap: 16.9B USD

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one APG stock under the Base Case scenario is 29.34 USD. Compared to the current market price of 40.4 USD, APi Group Corp is Overvalued by 27%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

APG Intrinsic Value
29.34 USD
Overvaluation 27%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
APi Group Corp

What is Valuation History?
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Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Economic Moat
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

A prolonged slowdown in nonresidential construction and industrial activity could curb demand for APi’s fire protection and specialty contracting segments, compressing margins and reducing project backlogs.

Difficulty integrating and extracting synergies from major acquisitions (such as the Chubb Fire & Security acquisition) could lead to higher integration costs and undermine management’s margin expansion targets.

APi’s strategy of rapid growth through M&A carries the risk of overpaying for assets or assuming excessive debt, which could strain the balance sheet and reduce future acquisition flexibility.

Bull Theses

Growing emphasis on workplace and building safety standards supports sustained demand for APi’s fire protection and life-safety services, driving consistent revenue growth.

Effective integration of Chubb Fire & Security and other recent acquisitions could deliver cost synergies and cross-selling opportunities, enhancing APi’s profit profile and expanding its global footprint.

Rising infrastructure spending, particularly in the U.S., creates a favorable backdrop for APi’s specialty contracting business to secure long-term government and commercial contracts.

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How do you feel about APG?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
APi Group Corp

Current Assets 3B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 555m
Receivables 2.1B
Other Current Assets 312m
Non-Current Assets 5.7B
PP&E 674m
Intangibles 4.8B
Other Non-Current Assets 255m
Current Liabilities 2B
Accounts Payable 537m
Accrued Liabilities 694m
Other Current Liabilities 800m
Non-Current Liabilities 3.4B
Long-Term Debt 3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 461m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
APi Group Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
APi Group Corp

Revenue
7.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-5.3B USD
Gross Profit
2.4B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.8B USD
Operating Income
594m USD
Other Expenses
-438m USD
Net Income
156m USD
Fundamental Scores

APG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

APi Group Corp's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ROE is Increasing
Healthy Gross Margin
ROIC is Increasing
Sustainable 3Y Average Gross Margin
46/100
Profitability
Score

APi Group Corp's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

APG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

APi Group Corp's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Low D/E
42/100
Solvency
Score

APi Group Corp's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

APG Price Targets Summary
APi Group Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast APG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APG is 44.18 USD with a low forecast of 40.4 USD and a high forecast of 54.72 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
40.4 USD
0% Upside
Average
Price Target
44.18 USD
9% Upside
Highest
Price Target
54.72 USD
35% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

APi Group Corp
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for APG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y

Ownership

APG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one APG stock?

The intrinsic value of one APG stock under the Base Case scenario is 29.34 USD.

Is APG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 40.4 USD, APi Group Corp is Overvalued by 27%.

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