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American Vanguard Corp
NYSE:AVD

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American Vanguard Corp Logo
American Vanguard Corp
NYSE:AVD
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Price: 12.65 USD 2.6%
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

Intrinsic Value

American Vanguard Corp. is a holding company, which engages in the development and marketing of specialty and agricultural products for crop protection and management, turf and ornamentals management,... [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one AVD stock under the Base Case scenario is 16.13 USD. Compared to the current market price of 12.65 USD, American Vanguard Corp is Undervalued by 22%.

Key Points:
AVD Intrinsic Value
Base Case
16.13 USD
Undervaluation 22%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
American Vanguard Corp

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Fundamental Analysis

Transformation Efforts to Spur Profitable Growth
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Transformation Efforts to Spur Profitable Growth

Despite a 33% decline in Brazil's Ag Chem industry, our sales in Brazil only dipped by 4%. While Brazil's adversity might affect the industry in 2024, it shouldn't materially impact our global results. We're bracing for a drag on herbicide sales due to low-priced generics but believe our diverse portfolio across various regions will mitigate specific market challenges. We project inventory procurement changes to stabilize in 2024, leading to a normalization in order timing. Our transformation initiatives are set to yield $15 million in annual operating profit through optimization and cost reductions, although additional costs will affect the full-year impact. We aim to strengthen operating leverage by 2025 with systematic efficiency improvements. Our 2024 outlook remains steadfast, and we're on track for Q4 and full-year 2023 targets, eyeing growth and profitability through ongoing transformation.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
American Vanguard Corp

Current Assets 432m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 11.4m
Receivables 194.8m
Other Current Assets 225.8m
Non-Current Assets 335.5m
PP&E 97m
Intangibles 223.7m
Other Non-Current Assets 14.8m
Current Liabilities 230.5m
Accounts Payable 85.2m
Accrued Liabilities 74.2m
Other Current Liabilities 71.2m
Non-Current Liabilities 167m
Long-Term Debt 138.9m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 28.1m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
American Vanguard Corp

Revenue
579.4m USD
Cost of Revenue
-400.2m USD
Gross Profit
179.2m USD
Operating Expenses
-155.9m USD
Operating Income
23.3m USD
Other Expenses
-15.8m USD
Net Income
7.5m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
American Vanguard Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
Chart
Table
What is Free Cash Flow?
Fundamental Scores

AVD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

American Vanguard Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Negative Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROIC is Increasing
48/100
Profitability
Score

American Vanguard Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AVD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

American Vanguard Corp's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
51/100
Solvency
Score

American Vanguard Corp's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AVD Price Targets Summary
American Vanguard Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast AVD stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AVD is 16.32 USD with a low forecast of 13.13 USD and a high forecast of 19.95 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
13.13 USD
4% Upside
Average
Price Target
16.32 USD
29% Upside
Highest
Price Target
19.95 USD
58% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

AVD Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

AVD Price
American Vanguard Corp

1M 1M
+20%
6M 6M
+16%
1Y 1Y
-43%
3Y 3Y
-37%
5Y 5Y
-26%
10Y 10Y
-37%
Annual Price Range
12.65
52w Low
8.43
52w High
22.24
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 7.45%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 20.53%
Max Drawdown -67%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 363.8m USD
Shares Outstanding 28 750 400
Percentage of Shares Shorted 6.64%

AVD Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

Company Profile

American Vanguard Corp Logo
American Vanguard Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Chemicals

Market Cap

363.8m USD

Dividend Yield

0.95%

Description

American Vanguard Corp. is a holding company, which engages in the development and marketing of specialty and agricultural products for crop protection and management, turf and ornamentals management, and public and animal health. The company is headquartered in Newport Beach, California and currently employs 804 full-time employees. The firm is primarily a specialty chemical manufacturer that develops and markets products for agricultural, commercial and consumer uses. The firm manufactures and formulates chemicals for crops, human and animal protection. AVD conducts its business through, its principle operating subsidiaries, including AMVAC Chemical Corporation (AMVAC) for its domestic business and AMVAC Netherlands BV (AMVAC BV) for its international business. AMVAC is a manufacturer of chemical, biological and biorational products that develops and markets solutions for agricultural, commercial and consumer uses. The Company’s products include insecticides, fungicides, herbicides, soil health, plant nutrition, molluscicides, growth regulators, and soil fumigants, are marketed in liquid, powder, and granular forms. AMVAC BV sells product both directly and through its network of subsidiaries in various international territories.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
Newport Beach
4695 Macarthur Ct
+19492601200.0
http://www.american-vanguard.com/

IPO

1987-03-03

Employees

804

Officers

Chairman & CEO
Mr. Eric G. Wintemute
VP, CFO & Treasurer
Mr. David T. Johnson
COO & Executive VP
Dr. Ulrich G. Trogele Ph.D.
General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer & Secretary
Mr. Timothy J. Donnelly Esq.
Managing Director of AMVAC Netherlands BV
Mr. Peter E. Eilers
Senior Vice President of Crop Sales for U.S. & Canada
Mr. Anthony Scott Hendrix
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VP & Director of Technology
Andrew B. Naughton
Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications
Mr. William A. Kuser
Senior Vice President of Human Resources
Ms. Shirin Khosravi
Chief Transformation Officer
Mr. Donald J. Gualdoni
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AVD stock?

The intrinsic value of one AVD stock under the Base Case scenario is 16.13 USD.

Is AVD stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 12.65 USD, American Vanguard Corp is Undervalued by 22%.