FedEx Corp
NYSE:FDX

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FedEx Corp
NYSE:FDX
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Price: 207.28 USD -1.22%
Market Cap: 49.7B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one FDX stock under the Base Case scenario is 323.66 USD. Compared to the current market price of 207.28 USD, FedEx Corp is Undervalued by 36%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

FDX Intrinsic Value
323.66 USD
Undervaluation 36%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
FedEx Corp

Intrinsic Value History
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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
FDX
Valuation History
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Valuation History Unavailable

Historical valuation for FDX cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints.

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Fundamental Analysis

FedEx Corp
NYSE:FDX
US
Logistics & Transportation
Market Cap
49.7B USD
IPO
Dec 28, 1978
US
Logistics & Transportation
Market Cap
49.7B USD
IPO
Dec 28, 1978
Price
$
$
Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Economic Moat
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

FedEx faces mounting competitive pressure from Amazon, which continues to build out its own logistics and delivery capabilities, potentially eroding FedEx’s market share in key segments and pressuring pricing power.

Rising labor costs, especially for FedEx’s sizable ground and freight workforce, could compress margins and hamper profitability if wage inflation outpaces the benefits of operational efficiencies.

The capital-intensive nature of FedEx’s air and ground networks exposes the company to cyclical volume downturns. In economic slowdowns, fixed costs remain high while shipping demand declines, squeezing earnings and free cash flow.

Bull Theses

FedEx’s global transportation infrastructure and wide service offerings, including Express, Ground, and Freight, give it distinct scale advantages, enabling comprehensive, door-to-door solutions that smaller rivals struggle to match.

The company’s plan to optimize its networks, such as consolidating Express and Ground operations more effectively, should unlock operational efficiencies and improve margins over the long term.

FedEx stands to benefit from continued growth in e-commerce, especially as businesses seek faster, more reliable parcel deliveries and last-mile solutions, supporting steady demand for FedEx’s core services.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
FedEx Corp

Current Assets 17.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 5.1B
Receivables 10.2B
Other Current Assets 1.8B
Non-Current Assets 67.8B
PP&E 57.4B
Intangibles 6.3B
Other Non-Current Assets 4.1B
Current Liabilities 13.9B
Accounts Payable 3.6B
Accrued Liabilities 9.7B
Other Current Liabilities 611m
Non-Current Liabilities 44.4B
Long-Term Debt 19.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 24.9B
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
FedEx Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
FedEx Corp

Revenue
87.8B USD
Cost of Revenue
-25.6B USD
Gross Profit
62.2B USD
Operating Expenses
-56.2B USD
Operating Income
6B USD
Other Expenses
-2.1B USD
Net Income
3.9B USD
Fundamental Scores

FDX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

FedEx Corp's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive ROE
52/100
Profitability
Score

FedEx Corp's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

FDX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

FedEx Corp's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
47/100
Solvency
Score

FedEx Corp's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

FDX Price Targets Summary
FedEx Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FDX is 284.74 USD with a low forecast of 202 USD and a high forecast of 371.7 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
202 USD
3% Downside
Average
Price Target
284.74 USD
37% Upside
Highest
Price Target
371.7 USD
79% Upside
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View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for FDX is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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Ownership

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one FDX stock?

The intrinsic value of one FDX stock under the Base Case scenario is 323.66 USD.

Is FDX stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 207.28 USD, FedEx Corp is Undervalued by 36%.

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