Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
NYSE:IVR
Intrinsic Value
Invesco Mortgage Capital, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in investing, financing and managing residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and mortgage loans. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
IVR
stock under the Base Case scenario is
62.09
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 8.09 USD,
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
is
Undervalued by 87%.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc's market capitalization is 392m USD.
IVR stock price is 8.09 USD.
IVR stock price (8.09 USD) is 87% less than its Intrinsic Value (62.09 USD).
IVR's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 1% to 1%.
IVR's Revenue has been falling by 2% per year for the last 3 years.
IVR's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from -8% to -5%, and is approaching profitability.
IVR's long-term assets (5B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (5B USD).
IVR's Revenue is forecast to fall at a rate of 5% per year over the next 3 years.
IVR's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 1%.
IVR's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 35% over the past 12 months.
IVR's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -5%.
IVR has a very low three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 2%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
IVR has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
IVR has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
IVR has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
IVR has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
IVR has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (4B USD) than cash and short-term investments (77m USD).
IVR has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -20%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
IVR's short-term liabilties (5B USD) exceed its short-term assets (104m USD).
IVR's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very high and is equal to 5.7.
IVR's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -0.81.
IVR doesn't generate enough operating income (30m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (243m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
IVR
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
| Current Assets | 103.6m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 77m |
| Receivables | 26.6m |
| Non-Current Assets | 5.2B |
| Long-Term Investments | 5.1B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 123.6m |
| Current Liabilities | 4.5B |
| Accounts Payable | 5.2m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 15.8m |
| Short-Term Debt | 4.5B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 21.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
|
Revenue
|
288.3m
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-250.9m
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
37.4m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-7.4m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
30m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-67.5m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
-37.5m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
IVR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
IVR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc's solvency score is 8/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc's solvency score is 8/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
IVR Price Targets Summary
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
IVR
is 8.67 USD
with a low forecast of 8.59 USD and a high forecast of 8.93 USD.
Ownership
IVR Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
IVR Price
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
| Average Annual Return | -28.52% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 41.97% |
| Max Drawdown | -95% |
| Market Capitalization | 392m USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 48 665 200 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 6.83% |
Company Profile
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Invesco Mortgage Capital, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in investing, financing and managing residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and mortgage loans. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and currently employs 0 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2009-06-26. The firm's objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. The firm invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), which are guaranteed by a United States government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae), a federally chartered corporation, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), collectively known as Agency RMBS. The firm also invests in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) and RMBS, which are not guaranteed by a United States government agency or a federally chartered corporation (non-Agency CMBS), as well as commercial mortgage loans and other real estate-related financing arrangements.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
IVR
stock under the Base Case scenario is
62.09
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 8.09 USD,
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
is
Undervalued by 87%.
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