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Lumen Technologies Inc
NYSE:LUMN

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Lumen Technologies Inc Logo
Lumen Technologies Inc
NYSE:LUMN
Watchlist
Price: 1.59 USD -1.85%
Updated: Mar 1, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Lumen Technologies, Inc. is an investment holding company, which engages in the provision of integrated communications to residential and business customers. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one LUMN stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.33 USD. Compared to the current market price of 1.59 USD, Lumen Technologies Inc is Undervalued by 85%.

Key Points:
LUMN Intrinsic Value
Base Case
10.33 USD
Undervaluation 85%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Base Case Scenario

Valuation Backtest
Lumen Technologies Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Company Guides EBITDA Stabilization Amid Revenue Dip
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Company Guides EBITDA Stabilization Amid Revenue Dip

The company saw various shifts in its revenue streams. Nurture products revenue declined by 9.7% and carried a 69% direct margin in the quarter. Revenue from Harvest products, impacted by legacy service declines, dropped by 10.4% but contributed an 81% direct margin. Overall revenue fell by 8.3%, though Mass Markets fiber broadband income grew by 11.5%, with increased Quantum Fiber customer numbers to 916,000 and fiber Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) at approximately $61. Adjusted EBITDA sank to $1.099 billion, from $1.393 billion year-over-year, with a Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin of 31.2%. Looking ahead, the company forecasts full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA of $4.1 billion to $4.3 billion, anticipating a 2% to 5% organic revenue decline, improving from the previous year's outlook. Capital expenses are expected between $2.7 billion to $2.9 billion, with free cash flow projected between $100 million to $300 million for 2024 including a $700 million tax refund, though offset by higher interest expenses.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Lumen Technologies Inc

Current Assets 4.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 2.2B
Receivables 1.6B
Other Current Assets 931m
Non-Current Assets 29.2B
PP&E 21B
Intangibles 7.4B
Other Non-Current Assets 821m
Current Liabilities 3.5B
Accounts Payable 1.1B
Accrued Liabilities 1.1B
Other Current Liabilities 1.3B
Non-Current Liabilities 30.1B
Long-Term Debt 19.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 10.2B
Efficiency
Fundamental Scores

LUMN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Lumen Technologies Inc's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Negative Free Cash Flow
Positive Operating Income
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
37/100
Profitability
Score

Lumen Technologies Inc's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

LUMN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Lumen Technologies Inc's solvency score is 17/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
High D/E
17/100
Solvency
Score

Lumen Technologies Inc's solvency score is 17/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

LUMN Price Targets Summary
Lumen Technologies Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast LUMN stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LUMN is 1.64 USD with a low forecast of 1.01 USD and a high forecast of 3.68 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
1.01 USD
36% Downside
Average
Price Target
1.64 USD
3% Upside
Highest
Price Target
3.68 USD
131% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

LUMN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

LUMN Price
Lumen Technologies Inc

1M 1M
+24%
6M 6M
+1%
1Y 1Y
-51%
3Y 3Y
-85%
5Y 5Y
-83%
10Y 10Y
-89%
Annual Price Range
1.59
52w Low
0.9801
52w High
3.3
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -5.8%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 40.45%
Max Drawdown -93%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 1.6B USD
Shares Outstanding 1 009 760 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 16.56%

LUMN Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

LUMN News

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Last Important Events
Lumen Technologies Inc

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

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Sentiment Analysis
Lumen Technologies Inc

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Company Profile

Lumen Technologies Inc Logo
Lumen Technologies Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Telecommunication

Market Cap

1.6B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Lumen Technologies, Inc. is an investment holding company, which engages in the provision of integrated communications to residential and business customers. The company is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana and currently employs 36,000 full-time employees. The Company’s segments include Mass Markets, North America (NA) Business, Europe, Middle East and Africa region (EMEA), Asia Pacific region (APAC) and Latin America region (LATAM). The Company’s product and service categories include Consumer Broadband, which includes fiber-based and lower speed DSL-based broadband services to residential customers; Small Business Group (SBG) Broadband, which includes fiber-based and lower speed digital subscriber line (DSL) -based broadband services to small businesses; Voice and Other, which include retail video services, professional services and other ancillary services, and Connect America Fund (CAF) II, which consists of Connect America Fund Phase II payments to support voice and broadband in emergency broadband benefit.

Contact

LOUISIANA
Monroe
P O Box 4065, 100 Centurylink Dr
+13183889000.0
http://www.centurylink.com/

IPO

1978-10-24

Employees

36 000

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Ms. Kathleen E. Johnson
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Christopher David Stansbury
Executive VP General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. Stacey Wayne Goff
Principal Accounting Officer, Senior VP & Controller
Ms. Andrea Genschaw
Chief Technology Officer
Mr. David Ward
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Michael L. McCormack C.F.A.
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Executive VP & Chief People Officer
Ms. Ana Maria White
Chief Privacy Officer, VP & Assistant General Counsel
Mr. Carrick B. Inabnett
President of Mass Markets
Ms. Maxine L. Moreau
Senior Vice President of Public Policy & Government Relations
Mr. John F. Jones
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one LUMN stock?

The intrinsic value of one LUMN stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.33 USD.

Is LUMN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 1.59 USD, Lumen Technologies Inc is Undervalued by 85%.