MINISO Group Holding Ltd
NYSE:MNSO
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Intrinsic Value
MINISO Group Holding Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in retailing design-led lifestyle products, through its subsidiary. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one MNSO stock under the Base Case scenario is 12.89 USD. Compared to the current market price of 16.68 USD, MINISO Group Holding Ltd is Overvalued by 23%.
Valuation Backtest
MINISO Group Holding Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling MNSO stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Strong Revenue and Margin Growth in Q4
Earnings Call Summary
Revenue soared to RMB 3.84 billion, up 54% year-over-year, driven by significant growth in both MINISO's offline stores and TOP TOY operations which surged by 63% and 90% respectively. Store count increased by 19%, with per store revenue almost doubling. Overseas revenue also grew robustly by 51%, with directly operated stores being a key contributor. Gross margin improved to 43.1%, thanks to product optimization and a strategic shift towards more profitable products. Adjusted net margin reached a new record of 17.4% after FX adjustments, exemplifying strong profitability. The outlook remains optimistic, with anticipated overseas market growth of 35%-45% year-over-year, and confidence in an improved margin profile for the full year despite a typical Q1 seasonal dip.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
MINISO Group Holding Ltd
| Current Assets | 10.3B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 6.9B |
| Receivables | 1.3B |
| Other Current Assets | 2.1B |
| Non-Current Assets | 4.2B |
| Long-Term Investments | 206.4m |
| PP&E | 3.7B |
| Intangibles | 41.2m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 239.9m |
| Current Liabilities | 4.4B |
| Accounts Payable | 855.9m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 519.9m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 3B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 910.1m |
| Long-Term Debt | 804.5m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 105.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
MINISO Group Holding Ltd
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Revenue
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14.6B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-8.5B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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6.2B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-3.2B
CNY
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Operating Income
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3B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-628.4m
CNY
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Net Income
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2.4B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
MINISO Group Holding Ltd
| CNY | |
| Free Cash Flow | CNY |
MNSO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
MINISO Group Holding Ltd's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
MINISO Group Holding Ltd's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MNSO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
MINISO Group Holding Ltd's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
MINISO Group Holding Ltd's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MNSO Price Targets Summary
MINISO Group Holding Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MNSO is 21.81 USD with a low forecast of 20.24 USD and a high forecast of 23.45 USD.
Click here to dive deeper.
Price Appreciation
Price
MINISO Group Holding Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 58.61% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns |
N/A
|
| Max Drawdown | -46% |
| Market Capitalization | 41.1B HKD |
| Shares Outstanding | 1 263 689 700 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
MINISO Group Holding Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in retailing design-led lifestyle products, through its subsidiary. The company is headquartered in Guangzhou, Guangdong and currently employs 3,648 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-10-15. The firm have built its flagship brand MINISO and established a store network worldwide. The Company’s products include home decor, small electronics, textile, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care, snacks, fragrance and perfumes, and stationery and gifts. The firm conducts its businesses within the China market and to overseas markets, such as Asia, America, Europe and others.
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IPO
Employees
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The intrinsic value of one MNSO stock under the Base Case scenario is 12.89 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 16.68 USD, MINISO Group Holding Ltd is Overvalued by 23%.
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