Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) under the Base Case is 39.34 USD per share. Compared with the current market price of 18.115 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 54% .

The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Annaly's revenue grows 19% in 2026, then slows: growth averages 6.5% a year over the next five years, versus 83% over the last five. Net margin ends at 24% in 2033, below last year's 26%.

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NLY Intrinsic Value
$39.34
Undervaluation 54%
Intrinsic Value
Price $18.115

NLY is valued in line with its history. A discount of this size has been typical over the past 5 years.

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20% below Intrinsic Value $31.47
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Intrinsic Value $39.34
Margin of Safety 20% $31.47
Current Price $18.12
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Fundamental Analysis

What Annaly Capital Management Does

Real Estate Financials

Annaly Capital Management is a mortgage real estate investment trust, which means it makes money from pools of home loans and other mortgage-related debt rather than from owning apartment buildings or shopping centers. It buys government-backed mortgage securities, agency mortgage servicing rights, and other credit-sensitive mortgage assets, then earns income from the interest these assets generate and from changes in their value.

Headquarters
United States of America US
Employees
212
IPO date
Oct 8, 1997
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Annaly Capital Management has no economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

Rivals can buy the same kinds of mortgage investments as Annaly, so it cannot reserve attractive opportunities for itself. Its size and trading relationships help it compete, but do not give it a lasting cost edge over banks, funds and other mortgage investors.

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Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Annaly Capital Management Inc

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

NLY Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one NLY stock?

The intrinsic value for Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) under the Base Case is 39.34 USD.

Is NLY stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 18.115 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 54% .

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