Northern Oil and Gas Inc
NYSE:NOG
Intrinsic Value
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
NOG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
56.82
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 42.87 USD,
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
is
Undervalued by 25%.
NOG could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Northern Oil and Gas Inc's market capitalization is 4.3B USD.
NOG stock price is 42.87 USD.
NOG stock price (42.87 USD) is 25% less than its Intrinsic Value (56.82 USD).
NOG stock price (42.87 USD) is 23% less than its Relative Value (55.95 USD). Open Relative Valuation
NOG has upside potential of 17% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
NOG's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 3% per year over the next 3 years.
NOG's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.9.
NOG's short-term assets (509m USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (386m USD).
NOG's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.24.
NOG's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 38% over the past 12 months.
NOG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 30%.
NOG has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 19%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
NOG's long-term assets (4B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (2B USD).
NOG's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -333% to 66%.
NOG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -15% to 30%.
NOG generates enough operating income (1B USD) to cover interest payments on its debt (129m USD).
NOG has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
NOG has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
NOG has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
NOG's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 66%.
NOG's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 58% per year for the last 3 years.
NOG has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
NOG has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 181%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
NOG has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (2B USD) than cash and short-term investments (8m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
NOG
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
| Current Assets | 509.4m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.2m |
| Receivables | 373.8m |
| Other Current Assets | 127.4m |
| Non-Current Assets | 4B |
| PP&E | 3.9B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 43.3m |
| Current Liabilities | 385.8m |
| Accounts Payable | 192.7m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 174.2m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 18.9m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
| Long-Term Debt | 1.8B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 215.3m |
Earnings Waterfall
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
|
Revenue
|
2.2B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-507.1m
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
1.7B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-526.9m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
1.1B
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-209.3m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
923m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
NOG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Northern Oil and Gas Inc's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Northern Oil and Gas Inc's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NOG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Northern Oil and Gas Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Northern Oil and Gas Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NOG Price Targets Summary
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
NOG
is 50.11 USD
with a low forecast of 38.38 USD and a high forecast of 57.75 USD.
Ownership
NOG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
NOG Price
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
| Average Annual Return | 25.41% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 90.6% |
| Max Drawdown | -88% |
| Market Capitalization | 4.3B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 101 044 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 10.94% |
Company Profile
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties. The company is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota and currently employs 25 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-02-21. The firm is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas properties. Its properties are located in the United States, primarily in the Williston Basin, the Appalachian Basin and the Permian Basin. The firm's primary focus is investing in non-operated minority working and mineral interests in oil and gas properties, with a core area of focus in three premier basins within the United States. The company is engaged in oil and natural gas exploration and production by participating on a proportionate basis alongside third-party interests in wells drilled and completed in spacing units that include its acreage. The firm has leased approximately 245,431 net acres, of which approximately 87% are developed and all are located in the United States.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
NOG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
56.82
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 42.87 USD,
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
is
Undervalued by 25%.
You don't have any saved screeners yet
