Ovintiv Inc
NYSE:OVV
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
OVV
stock under the Base Case scenario is
87.17
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 38.67 USD,
Ovintiv Inc
is
Undervalued by 56%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Let our AI compare Alpha Spread’s intrinsic value with external valuations from Simply Wall St, GuruFocus, ValueInvesting.io, Seeking Alpha, and others.
Let our AI break down the key assumptions behind the intrinsic value calculation for Ovintiv Inc.
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TSX:CNQ
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Fundamental Analysis
Select up to 3 indicators:
Select up to 3 indicators:
Mounting regulatory scrutiny on Ovintiv’s North American shale operations, particularly in core plays like the Permian and Montney, could raise compliance costs and threaten expansion plans, squeezing profit margins.
Rising production decline rates in Ovintiv’s unconventional wells may force increased capital spending to maintain volume targets, reducing free cash flow availability for shareholder returns.
A heavy reliance on natural gas production, combined with historically volatile commodity prices, risks eroding cash flow if gas prices soften faster than the company’s hedging strategies can compensate.
Ovintiv’s diversified shale footprint across the Permian, Montney, and Eagle Ford plays provides operational resilience and the potential for strong volume growth in areas with attractive drilling economics.
Sustained cost efficiencies from Ovintiv’s multi-basin focus and technology-driven drilling strategies could expand operating margins and free cash flow, enabling higher dividend payouts or share buybacks.
The company’s methodical debt reduction strategy, coupled with flexible hedging programs, strengthens the balance sheet and positions Ovintiv to better weather price downturns and capitalize on acquisition opportunities.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Ovintiv Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ovintiv Inc
| Current Assets | 1.2B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 25m |
| Receivables | 1.1B |
| Other Current Assets | 77m |
| Non-Current Assets | 18.2B |
| PP&E | 14.1B |
| Intangibles | 2.6B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 1.5B |
| Current Liabilities | 2.6B |
| Accounts Payable | 1.7B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 112m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 847m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 6.5B |
| Long-Term Debt | 4.4B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ovintiv Inc
| USD | |
| Free Cash Flow | USD |
Earnings Waterfall
Ovintiv Inc
|
Revenue
|
8.9B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.7B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
6.3B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-4.2B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
2.1B
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-1.8B
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
236m
USD
|
OVV Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ovintiv Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ovintiv Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
OVV Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ovintiv Inc's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ovintiv Inc's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
OVV Price Targets Summary
Ovintiv Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
OVV
is 55.18 USD
with a low forecast of 42.42 USD and a high forecast of 75.6 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for
OVV is
.
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
The intrinsic value of one
OVV
stock under the Base Case scenario is
87.17
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 38.67 USD,
Ovintiv Inc
is
Undervalued by 56%.