Simon Property Group Inc
NYSE:SPG

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Simon Property Group Inc
NYSE:SPG
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Price: 159.93 USD -1.54% Market Closed
Market Cap: 52.2B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one SPG stock under the Base Case scenario is 137.03 USD. Compared to the current market price of 159.93 USD, Simon Property Group Inc is Overvalued by 14%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

SPG Intrinsic Value
137.03 USD
Overvaluation 14%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
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Valuation History
Simon Property Group Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Economic Moat
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

A continued decline in foot traffic at many traditional malls could pressure Simon’s core revenue streams, especially if key tenants fail or negotiate lower rents in response to weaker sales.

Rising interest rates may increase the company’s cost of capital, straining its ability to refinance existing debt and fund new acquisitions or redevelopment projects profitably.

Challenges in redeveloping underperforming properties or in securing new anchor tenants for vacated anchor stores could weigh on occupancy and rental rates, slowing future growth.

Bull Theses

Simon’s portfolio of premium malls and outlet centers in affluent, high-traffic markets may remain resilient to e-commerce competition, as these assets often command strong demand from top-tier retailers.

Strong balance sheet management and prudent capital allocation give Simon the flexibility to opportunistically acquire discounted assets, repurpose spaces, or expand into mixed-use developments.

The company’s focus on experiential retail—by adding entertainment venues, dining, and lifestyle elements—can enhance foot traffic and differentiate Simon’s properties from standard retail offerings.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Simon Property Group Inc

Current Assets 2.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.4B
Receivables 779.9m
Non-Current Assets 30.3B
Long-Term Investments 7B
PP&E 22.1B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.3B
Current Liabilities 3.7B
Accounts Payable 1.5B
Accrued Liabilities 518.2m
Other Current Liabilities 1.7B
Non-Current Liabilities 26.2B
Long-Term Debt 24.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.4B
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Simon Property Group Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Simon Property Group Inc

Revenue
6B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.1B USD
Gross Profit
4.9B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.9B USD
Operating Income
3.1B USD
Other Expenses
-1B USD
Net Income
2B USD
Fundamental Scores

SPG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Simon Property Group Inc's profitability score is 71/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3Y Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
Exceptional Operating Margin
Strong 3Y Average Operating Margin
71/100
Profitability
Score

Simon Property Group Inc's profitability score is 71/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

SPG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Simon Property Group Inc's solvency score is 20/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
Positive Net Debt
20/100
Solvency
Score

Simon Property Group Inc's solvency score is 20/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

SPG Price Targets Summary
Simon Property Group Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast SPG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPG is 188.28 USD with a low forecast of 164.63 USD and a high forecast of 231 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
164.63 USD
3% Upside
Average
Price Target
188.28 USD
18% Upside
Highest
Price Target
231 USD
44% Upside
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Dividends

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Growth 10Y
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for SPG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Competitive Landscape

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one SPG stock?

The intrinsic value of one SPG stock under the Base Case scenario is 137.03 USD.

Is SPG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 159.93 USD, Simon Property Group Inc is Overvalued by 14%.

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