TKO Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:TKO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TKO stock under the Base Case scenario is 65.68 USD. Compared to the current market price of 118.5 USD, TKO Group Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 45%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
TKO Group Holdings Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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TKO Group Holdings Inc. is an emerging player in the world of sports and entertainment, focused on harnessing the power of mixed martial arts (MMA) through its flagship organization, the Professional Fighters League (PFL). Founded with the vision of reimagining competitive fighting, TKO has distinguished itself by utilizing a unique, season-based format that mirrors traditional sports leagues, giving fans a structured and engaging experience. By leveraging advanced technology in production and broadcasting, TKO aims to expand its viewership and cultivate a loyal fan base. This innovative approach has positioned the company as a contender in the rapidly growing combat sports market, which is...
TKO Group Holdings Inc. is an emerging player in the world of sports and entertainment, focused on harnessing the power of mixed martial arts (MMA) through its flagship organization, the Professional Fighters League (PFL). Founded with the vision of reimagining competitive fighting, TKO has distinguished itself by utilizing a unique, season-based format that mirrors traditional sports leagues, giving fans a structured and engaging experience. By leveraging advanced technology in production and broadcasting, TKO aims to expand its viewership and cultivate a loyal fan base. This innovative approach has positioned the company as a contender in the rapidly growing combat sports market, which is expected to witness exponential growth over the coming years.
For investors, TKO Group Holdings Inc. represents an intriguing opportunity in a niche yet expanding sector. With a strong management team experienced in both sports and media, TKO is committed to forging strategic partnerships and securing broadcasting deals that will enhance its market presence. The company has also made notable strides in attracting sponsorships and engaging in international expansion, further diversifying its revenue streams. As the global appetite for MMA grows, TKO Group Holdings is not only capitalizing on current trends but is also well-positioned to adapt and thrive in an evolving landscape. For those seeking exposure to a dynamic and innovative sector, TKO Group Holdings Inc. could be a compelling investment opportunity.
TKO Group Holdings Inc. primarily operates in the sports and entertainment sector, with a focus on several core business segments. Here are the key segments:
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Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) Promotion: TKO Group is well-known for promoting MMA events. This segment includes organizing fights, managing athletes, and broadcasting events through various media platforms. The popularity of MMA has driven significant revenue through ticket sales, pay-per-view events, and sponsorships.
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Media and Broadcasting: The company engages in media production and broadcasting of its events. This involves partnerships with television networks and streaming services to reach a global audience. The media segment is crucial for generating revenue and enhancing brand visibility.
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Merchandising and Licensing: TKO Group capitalizes on its brand by offering a range of merchandise, including apparel, equipment, and accessories related to MMA. Licensing agreements with third-party vendors also contribute to revenue.
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Athlete Management and Development: This segment focuses on recruiting, training, and managing fighters. It includes providing athletes with coaching, marketing support, and career management, fostering long-term relationships and enhancing the talent pool.
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Events and Sponsorships: Beyond regular fight promotions, TKO Group organizes large-scale events and championships, attracting sponsorship from various brands. This segment is vital for broadening revenue streams and enhancing corporate partnerships.
These core business segments collectively contribute to the overall growth and sustainability of TKO Group Holdings Inc., leveraging the rising popularity of combat sports and entertainment.
To analyze the competitive advantages of TKO Group Holdings Inc over its rivals, we can consider several factors typically associated with companies in the sports and entertainment sectors. While I don’t have access to real-time data or specific business metrics, I can outline some potential competitive advantages TKO Group Holdings might possess based on general industry knowledge.
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Strong Brand Recognition: If TKO Group Holdings operates well-known brands or subsidiaries, this could provide a significant edge in attracting audiences and sponsors.
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Diverse Portfolio: Having a diverse range of offerings (such as events, merchandise, and media rights) can mitigate risks and provide multiple revenue streams.
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Exclusive Agreements: Partnerships with media companies or sponsorship agreements that are exclusive can create a barrier to entry for competitors.
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Innovative Marketing Strategies: Effective use of digital platforms and social media to engage with fans can enhance loyalty and drive ticket sales and merchandise.
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Talent Acquisition: A strong roster of talent (athletes, performers) that attracts fans and sponsorships can create a competitive edge.
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Operational Efficiency: Streamlined operations or proprietary technology can reduce costs and improve margins.
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Strategic Geographic Presence: If TKO Group Holdings has a robust presence in key markets or emerging regions, it may have opportunities for growth that competitors lack.
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Community Engagement: Strong ties to local communities through charitable initiatives or grassroots programs can enhance brand loyalty and local support.
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Financial Backing: Solid financial health, potentially supported by investors or parent companies, may allow for better investments in talent, marketing, and technology than rivals.
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Adaptability and Innovation: The ability to quickly adapt to changing market conditions, trends, or consumer preferences can keep the company ahead of competitors.
To provide a more tailored analysis, it would be essential to dive into TKO Group Holdings' specific operations, financial performance, and market positioning, as well as comparative performance metrics against its rivals.
TKO Group Holdings Inc, like any company in its industry, faces several potential risks and challenges. While specific details may vary over time, some general risks and challenges include:
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Market Competition: The sports and entertainment industry is highly competitive. TKO Group must contend with other organizations vying for audience attention and investment, which could limit its market share.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations governing sports, entertainment, or gambling can impact operations. Compliance costs or restrictions on certain activities can lead to financial strain.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can affect discretionary spending, leading to reduced attendance at events and lower merchandise sales.
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Health and Safety Concerns: The aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic and concerns related to athlete health (e.g., concussion protocols) can lead to changes in how events are conducted, potentially impacting fan engagement.
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Brand Reputation Management: Risks related to athlete behavior, controversies, or operational missteps can damage the brand's reputation, leading to decreased trust and lower consumer engagement.
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Technological Changes: Staying ahead of technological advancements is crucial. Failing to adapt to new broadcasting technologies, fan engagement platforms, or data analytics tools can hinder performance.
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Global Events: Geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or other global events can disrupt operations, impact attendance, or change consumer behavior.
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Financial Challenges: Burdened by debt or high operational costs, the company might struggle to sustain profitability and shareholder value.
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Intellectual Property Issues: Protecting brand assets and responding to potential infringements or legal challenges related to intellectual property can be resource-intensive.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: Attracting and retaining top talent in management, marketing, and athletic performance is essential. Any challenges in this area can impact the company's success.
To better assess the company’s specific risks, it would be beneficial to look at its latest financial statements, market trends, and any recent news articles or industry reports.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
TKO Group Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
TKO Group Holdings Inc
Current Assets | 743.5m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 523.8m |
Receivables | 161.9m |
Other Current Assets | 57.7m |
Non-Current Assets | 763.7m |
Long-Term Investments | 12m |
PP&E | 678.8m |
Intangibles | 10.9m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 62m |
Current Liabilities | 196.9m |
Accounts Payable | 18.2m |
Accrued Liabilities | 113.9m |
Short-Term Debt | 4.3m |
Other Current Liabilities | 60.6m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 401m |
Long-Term Debt | 384.3m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 16.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
TKO Group Holdings Inc
Revenue
|
1.3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.1B
USD
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Operating Income
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262m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-92.9m
USD
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Net Income
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169.1m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
TKO Group Holdings Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
TKO delivered record revenue of $851 million and net income of $151 million in Q2 2024, thanks to strong demand for UFC and WWE events. Adjusted EBITDA reached $421 million with a 49% margin. Live Events revenue increased 114%, driven by high-profile UFC events and WWE's WrestleMania 40. TKO raised its full-year 2024 guidance, now targeting revenue between $2.67 billion and $2.745 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $1.22 billion and $1.24 billion. New partnerships and site fees contributed significantly to the growth. Despite higher production costs, TKO remains optimistic about future profitability.
What is Earnings Call?
TKO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
TKO Group Holdings Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
TKO Group Holdings Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TKO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
TKO Group Holdings Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
TKO Group Holdings Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TKO Price Targets Summary
TKO Group Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TKO is 136.43 USD with a low forecast of 104.03 USD and a high forecast of 178.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TKO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
TKO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
TKO Group Holdings Inc is a US-based company operating in Entertainment industry. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 890 full-time employees. TKO Group Holdings, Inc., formerly New Whale Inc., is a holding company. The Company’s portfolio includes World Wrestling Entertainment, Inc. (WWE), Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. (EDR), and Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). WWE is an integrated media company, which is engaged in family-friendly entertainment on its television (TV) programming, premium live events, digital media, and publishing platforms. WWE Network includes all premium live events, scheduled programming and a massive video-on-demand library and is available in more than 180 countries. EDR is a global sports and entertainment company, which specializes in talent representation, sports operations and advisory, event and experiences management, media production and distribution, experiential marketing, and brand licensing. UFC is a mixed martial arts organization (MMA), which produces more than 40 live events annually in various arenas around the world, while broadcasting to over 900 million TV households.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TKO stock under the Base Case scenario is 65.68 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 118.5 USD, TKO Group Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 45%.