US Foods Holding Corp
NYSE:USFD
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one USFD stock under the Base Case scenario is 71.27 USD. Compared to the current market price of 62.11 USD, US Foods Holding Corp is Undervalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
US Foods Holding Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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US Foods Holding Corp. is a leading foodservice distributor in the United States, dedicated to serving a diverse range of customers, from restaurants and healthcare facilities to schools and hospitality venues. Founded in 1989 and headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, the company operates a vast network of distribution centers and local branches across the country. US Foods leverages its extensive product portfolio—ranging from fresh meats and produce to dairy and dry goods—to provide innovative solutions that meet the ever-evolving needs of its clients. With a strong emphasis on quality and sustainability, US Foods also invests in technology and data analytics, enabling its customers to stre...
US Foods Holding Corp. is a leading foodservice distributor in the United States, dedicated to serving a diverse range of customers, from restaurants and healthcare facilities to schools and hospitality venues. Founded in 1989 and headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, the company operates a vast network of distribution centers and local branches across the country. US Foods leverages its extensive product portfolio—ranging from fresh meats and produce to dairy and dry goods—to provide innovative solutions that meet the ever-evolving needs of its clients. With a strong emphasis on quality and sustainability, US Foods also invests in technology and data analytics, enabling its customers to streamline operations and enhance the dining experience for their patrons.
For investors, US Foods presents an intriguing opportunity within the foodservice sector, particularly as the restaurant industry rebounds post-pandemic. The company enjoys a robust market position, holding a significant share in the growing $300 billion foodservice distribution market. Its commitment to customer success, highlighted by its "Solutions for Success" initiative, seeks to deliver value-added services that elevate profitability for clients. Furthermore, with strategic acquisitions and a focus on efficiency, US Foods aims to drive organic growth while enhancing shareholder value. As consumers increasingly seek convenience and unique dining experiences, US Foods is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, making it a compelling investment prospect for those looking to tap into a resilient industry.
US Foods Holding Corp. is one of the largest foodservice distributors in the United States, serving a diverse range of customers, including restaurants, healthcare facilities, and educational institutions. The company's core business segments can be categorized into several key areas:
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Food Distribution: This is the primary segment of US Foods, where the company distributes a wide variety of food products, including fresh produce, meat, dairy, and dry goods. They supply products to various types of restaurants (from casual to fine dining), hotels, and other foodservice establishments. The breadth of their product offerings allows them to cater to different culinary needs and preferences.
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Services and Solutions: Beyond just food distribution, US Foods offers a range of value-added services aimed at helping its customers operate more efficiently. This includes menu planning assistance, culinary support, and cost management solutions. These services are designed to enhance customer experience and loyalty by helping clients optimize their operations.
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Perishables: US Foods places a strong emphasis on fresh and perishable products. This segment encompasses fresh meats, seafood, produce, and bakery items. The ability to provide high-quality, fresh products can differentiate US Foods in a competitive market and meet the increasing consumer demand for fresh and sustainable ingredients.
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Private Label Products: US Foods has developed a portfolio of private label products, which allows them to offer unique products at competitive prices. This can enhance their margins and provide customers with additional choices that may not be available through other distributors.
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E-commerce and Technology Solutions: US Foods has invested in technology and e-commerce platforms to streamline order processes and enhance customer engagement. This segment focuses on digital tools that facilitate ordering, inventory management, and supply chain efficiencies, thus providing both convenience and improved service levels for clients.
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Supply Chain and Logistics: The efficient management of supply chains and logistics is critical to US Foods’ operations. This involves the transportation and warehousing of products, ensuring timely delivery to customers while managing costs effectively.
In summary, US Foods operates primarily in food distribution, complemented by services and solutions that enhance customer relationships, a focus on perishables for high-quality offerings, a portfolio of private label products, a commitment to technology and digital solutions, and strong supply chain logistics to drive operational efficiencies.
US Foods Holding Corp possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the foodservice distribution industry:
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Scale and Geographic Reach: As one of the largest foodservice distributors in the United States, US Foods benefits from economies of scale. Its extensive distribution network allows it to serve a wide range of customers across various regions efficiently, reducing transportation costs and improving service levels.
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Comprehensive Product Portfolio: US Foods offers a broad array of products, including fresh produce, proteins, and prepared foods. This diverse product lineup enables the company to meet the varying needs of different customer segments, from large restaurant chains to independent operators.
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Strong Private Label Offering: The company's well-established private label brands, such as US Foods Signature and Elevation, allow it to differentiate its product offerings. These brands not only fill specific market niches but also tend to yield higher margins compared to national brands.
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Focus on Technology and Innovation: US Foods has invested in technology to enhance its operations, from supply chain management to customer-facing applications. Tools like its mobile ordering app and data analytics platforms improve customer experience, streamline ordering processes, and provide insights that help clients optimize their operations.
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Customer-Centric Approach and Support Services: The company’s emphasis on building relationships and providing value-added services, including culinary support, menu development, and business insights, helps foster customer loyalty and retain clients in a competitive industry.
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Robust Distribution Operations: US Foods operates state-of-the-art distribution centers with modern logistics capabilities that enhance efficiency, reduce waste, and ensure timely delivery. This operational strength enables the company to maintain a high level of service reliability.
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Culinary Expertise and Training: The company often focuses on culinary training and support for its customers, assisting them in menu planning and food preparation techniques. This not only builds customer loyalty but also positions US Foods as a trusted partner in the foodservice space.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: US Foods often forms partnerships with key suppliers and industry stakeholders, allowing for better negotiation leverage, access to exclusive products, and enhanced market positioning.
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Sustainability Initiatives: The increasing focus on sustainability and food safety resonates with today's consumers and restaurants. US Foods has initiatives aimed at reducing waste and ensuring source transparency, helping it to appeal to environmentally conscious customers.
These advantages position US Foods favorably against competitors in the foodservice distribution market, allowing it to maintain a strong market position and pursue growth opportunities effectively.
US Foods Holding Corp, like many companies in the food distribution sector, faces a number of risks and challenges that could impact its business in the near future:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The ongoing global supply chain issues can lead to delays and increased costs for sourcing food products. Labor shortages and logistical challenges can also significantly affect operations.
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Inflationary Pressures: Rising costs for raw materials, transportation, and labor can squeeze margins. If US Foods cannot pass these costs onto customers, profitability may be impacted.
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Health and Safety Regulations: The food industry is heavily regulated. Compliance with health and safety standards is crucial, and any violations can lead to fines, legal issues, and damage to the company's reputation.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: There is a growing trend toward plant-based foods, organic products, and sustainability. Failure to adapt to these trends could result in loss of market share.
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Competition: The food service distribution industry is highly competitive, with major players like Sysco and Gordon Food Service. Increased competition can lead to pricing pressure and reduced profit margins.
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Economic Downturns: A recession or economic slowdown can reduce demand in the food service industry, as consumers cut back on dining out and discretionary spending.
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E-commerce and Technology Integration: The growing trend of online ordering and delivery is changing the food distribution landscape. US Foods needs to invest in technology to meet these demands and improve operational efficiency.
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Labor Relations and Workforce Management: Labor shortages in the food service industry can affect operations. Additionally, labor disputes or workforce disruptions can hinder service delivery.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing pressure to adopt sustainable practices and reduce carbon footprints can pose challenges for traditional distribution models. Compliance with environmental regulations may also entail additional costs.
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Geopolitical Risks: Events such as trade wars, tariffs, or other geopolitical tensions can affect supply chains and costs, especially if US Foods sources products internationally.
These challenges require strategic planning and agile management to ensure continued growth and success in the food distribution sector.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
US Foods Holding Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
US Foods Holding Corp
Current Assets | 4.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 405m |
Receivables | 2.2B |
Other Current Assets | 1.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 9.4B |
PP&E | 2.4B |
Intangibles | 6.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 364m |
Current Liabilities | 3.4B |
Accounts Payable | 2.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 706m |
Short-Term Debt | 193m |
Other Current Liabilities | 118m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 5.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 4.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 737m |
Earnings Waterfall
US Foods Holding Corp
Revenue
|
36.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-30.4B
USD
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Gross Profit
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6.3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-5.3B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.1B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-530m
USD
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Net Income
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522m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
US Foods Holding Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
US Foods experienced a robust second quarter, with net sales rising by 7.7% to $9.7 billion. This growth was bolstered by a 5.2% increase in total case volume and 2.9% food cost inflation. The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $489 million, up 13.2%, and an all-time high EBITDA margin of 5%. Adjusted EPS surged by 17.7% to $0.93. Looking ahead, US Foods reiterated its 2024 guidance of 4%-6% total case growth and 1%-2% sales inflation, driven by strategic initiatives and market share gains.
What is Earnings Call?
USFD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
US Foods Holding Corp's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
US Foods Holding Corp's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
USFD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
US Foods Holding Corp's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
US Foods Holding Corp's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
USFD Price Targets Summary
US Foods Holding Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for USFD is 68.8 USD with a low forecast of 56.87 USD and a high forecast of 78.75 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for USFD is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
USFD Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
US Foods Holding Corp. operates as a foodservice distributor. The company is headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois and currently employs 28,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2016-05-26. The firm is primarily engaged in marketing and distributing of fresh, frozen and dry food and non-food products to foodservice customers throughout the United States. Its products include meats and seafood, dry grocery products, refrigerated and frozen grocery products, dairy, equipment disposables and supplies, and beverage products. The company serves customers that include independently owned single and multi-unit restaurants, regional concepts, national restaurant chains, hospitals, nursing homes, hotels and motels, country clubs, government and military organizations, colleges and universities, and retail locations. The firm provides over 400,000 fresh, frozen, and dry food stock-keeping units (SKUs), as well as non-food items, sourced from approximately 6,000 suppliers. The company has a network of over 69 distribution facilities and a fleet of approximately 6,500 trucks. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiary is US Foods, Inc. (USF).
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one USFD stock under the Base Case scenario is 71.27 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 62.11 USD, US Foods Holding Corp is Undervalued by 13%.