Vulcan Materials Co
NYSE:VMC

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Vulcan Materials Co Logo
Vulcan Materials Co
NYSE:VMC
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Price: 287.83 USD 0.65% Market Closed
Market Cap: 38B USD

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 24, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one VMC stock is 168.76 USD. Compared to the current market price of 287.83 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 41%.

VMC DCF Value
Base Case
168.76 USD
Overvaluation 41%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 168.76 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 6B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 16.3B USD. The total present value equals 22.3B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Model
Year 1

forecasted

Year 2

forecasted

Year 3

forecasted

Year 4

forecasted

Year 5

forecasted

Terminal

forecasted

Net Income
Revenue8 4969 0479 5429 93310 20510 343
Absolute Value
Growth
Net Margin13.83%15.12%16.58%16.49%16.41%16.32%
Absolute Value
Net Income1 1751 3681 5821 6381 6741 688
Free Cash Flow to Equity
FCFE1 1751 3681 5821 6381 6741 688
Present Value
Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%7.28%7.28%7.28%
Present Value1 0951 1891 2811 2371 17816 316
Revenue
Created with Highcharts 11.4.88 496m8 496m9 047m9 047m9 542m9 542m9 933m9 933m10B10B10B10BYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Terminal02 000m4 000m6 000m8 000m10B12B
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 22.3B USD
Equity Value 22.3B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 132.1m
VMC DCF Value 168.76 USD
Overvalued by 41%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
22.3B USD
/
Number of Shares
132.1m
=
DCF Value
168.76 USD

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
8.5B 10.3B
Net Income
1.2B 1.7B

What is the DCF value of one VMC stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one VMC stock is 168.76 USD. Compared to the current market price of 287.83 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 41%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Vulcan Materials Co's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 22.3B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 168.76 USD per share.

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