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Advanced Drainage Systems Inc
NYSE:WMS

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Advanced Drainage Systems Inc Logo
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc
NYSE:WMS
Watchlist
Price: 171.44 USD 2.17%
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. engages in the manufacture of thermoplastic corrugated pipe, which provides a suite of water management products and drainage solutions for use in the construction and... [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one WMS stock under the Base Case scenario is 120.12 USD. Compared to the current market price of 171.44 USD, Advanced Drainage Systems Inc is Overvalued by 30%.

Key Points:
WMS Intrinsic Value
Base Case
120.12 USD
Overvaluation 30%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Increased Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
2024-Q3 Earnings Call

Increased Revenue and EBITDA Guidance

The company has increased its free cash flow by 6% to $564 million primarily due to improved working capital. Capital spending rose by 8% to $136 million as it invested in automation, manufacturing capacity, and a new engineering and technology center. They have adjusted their revenue guidance up to $2.8-$2.85 billion, and adjusted EBITDA to $880-$910 million, reflecting stable demand and sales mix benefits. Investments are being directed towards organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and share repurchases, with 1.6 million shares bought back this fiscal year. The share repurchase program accounts for 9% of the total shares since its inception in 2022, and the quarterly dividend has increased by 17%.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

Current Assets 1.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 560.7m
Receivables 240.8m
Other Current Assets 436.9m
Non-Current Assets 1.9B
PP&E 810.9m
Intangibles 983m
Other Non-Current Assets 129.6m
Current Liabilities 409.1m
Accounts Payable 207.9m
Accrued Liabilities 162.3m
Other Current Liabilities 38.9m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.6B
Long-Term Debt 1.3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 252.9m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

Revenue
2.8B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.7B USD
Gross Profit
1.1B USD
Operating Expenses
-400.3m USD
Operating Income
716.2m USD
Other Expenses
-215.1m USD
Net Income
501m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
Chart
Table
What is Free Cash Flow?
Fundamental Scores

WMS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
ROE is Increasing
67/100
Profitability
Score

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

WMS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
62/100
Solvency
Score

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

WMS Price Targets Summary
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast WMS stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WMS is 181.33 USD with a low forecast of 146.45 USD and a high forecast of 198.45 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
146.45 USD
15% Downside
Average
Price Target
181.33 USD
6% Upside
Highest
Price Target
198.45 USD
16% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

WMS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

WMS Price
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

1M 1M
+3%
6M 6M
+51%
1Y 1Y
+106%
3Y 3Y
+77%
5Y 5Y
+612%
10Y 10Y
+1 077%
Annual Price Range
171.44
52w Low
77.63
52w High
172.68
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 48.83%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 62.13%
Max Drawdown -54%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 13.3B USD
Shares Outstanding 77 616 800
Percentage of Shares Shorted 2.53%

WMS Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

WMS News

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Company Profile

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc Logo
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Building

Market Cap

13.3B USD

Dividend Yield

0.33%

Description

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. engages in the manufacture of thermoplastic corrugated pipe, which provides a suite of water management products and drainage solutions for use in the construction and infrastructure marketplace. The company is headquartered in Hilliard, Ohio and currently employs 5,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2014-07-25. The firm operates through four segments: Pipe, International, Infiltrator and Allied Products & Other. Pipe segment manufactures and markets performance thermoplastic corrugated pipe throughout the United States. Infiltrator segment is a provider of plastic leachfield chambers and systems, septic tanks and accessories, primarily for use in residential applications. International segment manufactures and markets products in regions outside of the United States, with owned facilities in Canada and those markets serviced through its joint ventures in Mexico and South America. Its Allied Products & Other segment offers adjacent technologies to its core Pipe offering, presenting a complete drainage solution for its clients and customers.

Contact

OHIO
Hilliard
4640 Trueman Blvd
+16146580050.0
https://www.adspipe.com/

IPO

2014-07-25

Employees

5 000

Officers

CEO, President & Director
Mr. Donald Scott Barbour
Executive VP, CFO, Secretary & Treasurer
Mr. Scott A. Cottrill
Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. Kevin C. Talley
Executive Vice President of Supply Chain
Mr. Darin S. Harvey
Chief Accounting Officer, VP & Controller
Mr. Tim A. Makowski
Vice President of Corporate Strategy & Investor Relations
Mr. Michael Higgins
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Executive Vice President of Product Management & Marketing
Mr. Brian W. King
Executive Vice President of Sales
Mr. Michael G. Huebert
Executive Vice President of Market Management
Mr. Robert M. Klein
Executive Vice President of International, Product Development & Material Sciences
Mr. Thomas J. Waun Sr.
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one WMS stock?

The intrinsic value of one WMS stock under the Base Case scenario is 120.12 USD.

Is WMS stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 171.44 USD, Advanced Drainage Systems Inc is Overvalued by 30%.