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Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM

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Yum! Brands Inc Logo
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
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Price: 138.42 USD -0.13% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 1, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Yum!Brands, Inc. operates as a service restaurant company. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one YUM stock under the Base Case scenario is 123.18 USD. Compared to the current market price of 138.42 USD, Yum! Brands Inc is Overvalued by 11%.

Key Points:
YUM Intrinsic Value
Base Case
123.18 USD
Overvaluation 11%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Yum! Brands Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Robust Growth Despite Mixed Sales Performance
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Robust Growth Despite Mixed Sales Performance

Despite a 2% decrease in same-store sales influenced by Middle Eastern conflict, overall system sales grew 5% including a 4% rise in unit numbers and a 2% uptick in same-store sales over the year. Pizza Hut International's flat quarter was balanced by ongoing international promotions, while Pizza Hut U.S. saw a 4% same-store sales drop, but trends are expected to improve. The Habit Burger Grill notched a 6% system sales increase and 380 basis point margin boost through operation optimizations. Commitments to sustainability advanced, with a focus on lowering greenhouse emissions by nearly 50% by 2030 and expanding the use of recyclable plastics. Yum China highlighted its robust operations, engaging 470 million loyalty program members and promising 2-3 year paybacks on KFC and Pizza Hut investments. A strategic growth execution led to a 10% increase in system sales and 6% in same-store sales, with noteworthy expansion from KFC and Taco Bell in the U.S.. Financially, the company controlled costs effectively, as general and administrative expenses fell by 4%, while core operating profits rose by 8-12%. Full-year special EPS saw a 14% climb to $5.17. Alongside this, Yum! opened nearly 1,900 new units in the last quarter, primarily internationally.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Yum! Brands Inc

Current Assets 1.6B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 512m
Receivables 737m
Other Current Assets 360m
Non-Current Assets 4.6B
PP&E 2B
Intangibles 1B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.6B
Current Liabilities 1.3B
Accounts Payable 1.2B
Other Current Liabilities 108m
Non-Current Liabilities 12.8B
Long-Term Debt 11.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.7B
Efficiency
Fundamental Scores

YUM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Yum! Brands Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROIC
60/100
Profitability
Score

Yum! Brands Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

YUM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Yum! Brands Inc's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
38/100
Solvency
Score

Yum! Brands Inc's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

YUM Price Targets Summary
Yum! Brands Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast YUM stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for YUM is 147.07 USD with a low forecast of 128.27 USD and a high forecast of 174.3 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
128.27 USD
7% Downside
Average
Price Target
147.07 USD
6% Upside
Highest
Price Target
174.3 USD
26% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

YUM Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

YUM Price
Yum! Brands Inc

1M 1M
+6%
6M 6M
+7%
1Y 1Y
+10%
3Y 3Y
+38%
5Y 5Y
+57%
10Y 10Y
+212%
Annual Price Range
138.42
52w Low
116.25
52w High
142.24
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 9.99%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 15.31%
Max Drawdown -52%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 38.9B USD
Shares Outstanding 281 336 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 1.91%

YUM Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

YUM News

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Last Important Events
Yum! Brands Inc

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

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Sentiment Analysis
Yum! Brands Inc

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Last 7 Days 7D
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Last 90 Days 90D

Company Profile

Yum! Brands Inc Logo
Yum! Brands Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure

Market Cap

38.9B USD

Dividend Yield

1.94%

Description

Yum!Brands, Inc. operates as a service restaurant company. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky and currently employs 36,000 full-time employees. Brands, Inc. franchises or operates a system of approximately 53,000 restaurants in 157 countries and territories under the concepts of KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut and The Habit Burger Grill. Its segments include The KFC Division, which includes its worldwide operations of the KFC concept; The Taco Bell Division, which includes its worldwide operations of the Taco Bell concept; The Pizza Hut Division, which includes its worldwide operations of the Pizza Hut concept, and The Habit Burger Grill Division, which includes its worldwide operations of the Habit Burger Grill concept. The company develops, operates or franchises a system of both traditional and non-traditional restaurants. KFC offer fried and non-fried chicken products. Taco Bell specializes in Mexican-style food products. Pizza Hut specializes in the sale of ready-to-eat pizza products. The Habit Burger Grill specializes in chargrilled burgers and sandwiches made-to-order over an open flame and topped with fresh ingredients.

Contact

KENTUCKY
Louisville
1441 Gardiner Ln
+15028748300.0
https://www.yum.com/wps/portal/yumbrands/Yumbrands

IPO

1997-09-17

Employees

36 000

Officers

CEO & Director
Mr. David W. Gibbs
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Christopher Lee Turner
COO & Chief People Officer
Ms. Tracy L. Skeans
Chief Executive Officer of Pizza Hut Division
Mr. Aaron M. Powell
Chief Digital & Technology Officer
Mr. Clay M. Johnson
Vice President of Investor Relations
Ms. Jodi Dyer
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Chief Legal & Franchise Officer and Corporate Secretary
Mr. Scott A. Catlett
Chief Marketing Officer
Mr. Ken Muench
Chief Strategy Officer
Mr. Gavin Felder
Chief Equity, Inclusion & Belonging Officer
Mr. James Fripp
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one YUM stock?

The intrinsic value of one YUM stock under the Base Case scenario is 123.18 USD.

Is YUM stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 138.42 USD, Yum! Brands Inc is Overvalued by 11%.