Union Plastic PCL
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Union Plastic PCL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Union Plastic PCL (UP) under the Base Case is 22.44 THB per share. Compared with the current market price of 26.5 THB, the stock appears Overvalued by 15% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes net margin falls to 5.3% by 2033, below its five-year average of 6%. Revenue grows about 3% a year over the next five years, close to its five-year pace of 4%. The value of the years after 2033 is tied to revenue, so margins count only until then.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Union Plastic PCL
Earnings Waterfall
Union Plastic PCL
The intrinsic value for Union Plastic PCL (UP) under the Base Case is 22.44 THB.
Compared with the current market price of 26.5 THB, the stock appears Overvalued by 15% .