Swatch Group AG
SIX:UHR
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of 
Swatch Group AG (UHR) under the Base Case is 151.54 CHF per share.
Compared with the current market price of 188.9 CHF, the stock appears
Overvalued by 20% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model mostly extends the recent record: revenue grows about 4% a year over the next five years, against 2% over the last five, and operating margin stays near last year's 2.1%.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Swatch Group Does
Swatch Group AG is a Swiss watch company best known for making branded wristwatches across a wide price range, from affordable Swatch models to luxury names like Omega, Longines, Tissot, and Breguet. It also makes watch movements, components, and related products, which gives it more control over how its watches are designed and built than many rivals.
- Headquarters
- Switzerland CH
- Employees
- 31 796
- IPO date
- Aug 10, 2001
Swatch Group has no economic moat
Buyers can move between watchmakers without losing data, access to a service, or business functions, and a watch does not become more useful because more people wear the same brand. Swatch Group’s manufacturing reach and range of brands do not prevent other watchmakers from offering competing products.
Read the full moat analysis
Earnings Waterfall
Swatch Group AG
What is the Intrinsic Value of one UHR stock?
The intrinsic value for Swatch Group AG (UHR) under the Base Case is 151.54 CHF.
Is UHR stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the current market price of 188.9 CHF, the stock appears Overvalued by 20% .
