Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
SSE:601211
Intrinsic Value
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Capital Markets industry. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
20.36
CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 13.31 CNY,
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
is
Undervalued by 35%.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's market capitalization is 117.7B CNY.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd stock price is 13.31 CNY.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd stock price (13.31 CNY) is 35% less than its Intrinsic Value (20.36 CNY).
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd stock (11.13 CNY) is 16% less than its price (13.31 CNY). Open DCF Valuation
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd stock price (13.31 CNY) is 55% less than its Relative Value (29.59 CNY). Open Relative Valuation
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has upside potential of 37% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's Revenue has grown by 2% over the past 12 months.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 3% to 2%.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's Revenue has been growing by 3% per year for the last 3 years.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 3% per year over the next 3 years.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 10% to 5%.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 5%.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 8%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (347B CNY) than cash and short-term investments (160B CNY).
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's long-term assets (879B CNY) exceed its long-term liabilties (713B CNY).
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 2%.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has a very low three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 3%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very high and is equal to 2.09.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's short-term liabilties (481B CNY) exceed its short-term assets (183B CNY).
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.01.
Valuation Backtest
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
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Fundamental Analysis
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
| Current Assets | 182.6B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 160.4B |
| Receivables | 22.3B |
| Non-Current Assets | 696.7B |
| Long-Term Investments | 595.5B |
| PP&E | 5.7B |
| Intangibles | 5.5B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 90B |
| Current Liabilities | 480.6B |
| Accounts Payable | 170.9B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 6.4B |
| Short-Term Debt | 208.4B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 94.9B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 232.9B |
| Long-Term Debt | 138.3B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 94.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
|
Revenue
|
39.8B
CNY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.7B
CNY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
36.1B
CNY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-23.7B
CNY
|
|
Operating Income
|
12.4B
CNY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-3.7B
CNY
|
|
Net Income
|
8.7B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
What is Free Cash Flow?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
is 18.24 CNY
with a low forecast of 16.16 CNY and a high forecast of 22.92 CNY.
Shareholder Return
Price
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
| Average Annual Return | -6.11% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 10.84% |
| Max Drawdown | -33% |
| Market Capitalization | 117.7B CNY |
| Shares Outstanding | 8 904 610 816 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Capital Markets industry. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, Shanghai and currently employs 13,341 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-06-26. Guotai Junan Securities Co.,Ltd. is principally engaged in the securities brokerage, securities credit transactions, investment banking, securities trading, securities research and over-the-counter (OTC) businesses. The firm operates its business through four segments. Institutional Financial Service segment include investment banking and institutional investor services. Personal Financial Service segment mainly includes the provision of securities and futures brokerage, margin business, wealth management, financial planning and other services. Investment Management segment provides asset management and fund management services mainly for institutions and individuals, as well as involves in the direct investment business. International Business segment mainly includes brokerage, corporate financing, asset management, loan and financing and financial products, marketing and investment businesses, as well as building an international business platform.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
20.36
CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 13.31 CNY,
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd
is
Undervalued by 35%.
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