Nippon Road Co Ltd
TSE:1884

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Nippon Road Co Ltd
TSE:1884
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Price: 999 999.9999 JPY 39 724.77% Market Closed
Market Cap: 110.4B JPY

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jan 10, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one 1884 stock is 1 193 955.0352 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 999 999.9999 JPY, the stock is Undervalued by 16%.

DCF Value
Base Case
1 193 955.0352 JPY
Undervaluation 16%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
1 193 955.0352
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 1 193 955.0352 JPY

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 19.4B JPY. The present value of the terminal value is 75.1B JPY. The total present value equals 94.5B JPY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 94.5B JPY
+ Cash & Equivalents 45.6B JPY
+ Investments 1.5B JPY
Firm Value 141.6B JPY
- Debt 9.6B JPY
- Minority Interest 192m JPY
Equity Value 131.8B JPY
/ Shares Outstanding 110.4k
1884 DCF Value 1 193 955.0352 JPY
Undervalued by 16%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
173.1B 188.1B
Operating Income
9.2B 10.5B
FCFF
4.2B 4.9B

What is the DCF value of one 1884 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 1884 stock is 1 193 955.0352 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 999 999.9999 JPY, the stock is Undervalued by 16%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Nippon Road Co Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 94.5B JPY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 1 193 955.0352 JPY per share.

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