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Takara Holdings Inc (TSE:2531)

1 091 JPY
Watchlist Manager
Takara Holdings Inc
TSE:2531
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Oct 5, 2022.

Estimated DCF Value of one 2531 stock is 2 561.11 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 1 091 JPY, the stock is Undervalued by 57%.

DCF Value
Base Case
2 561.11 JPY
Undervaluation 57%
DCF Value
Price
T
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
2 561.11
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 2 561.11 JPY
Takara Holdings Inc Competitors:
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Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine Co Ltd
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600702
Shede Spirits Co Ltd
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Weilong Grape Wine Co Ltd
GUS
Gusbourne PLC
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Treasury Wine Estates Ltd
DGE
Diageo PLC

Present Value Calculation

The first step in the DCF calculation process is to estimate the company's future free cash flow. Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate. The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow. You can change any model inputs below.

Available Valuation Models
1 valuation model available
Alpha Spread
Updated on Oct 5, 2022
Default Valuation
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Other investors haven't shared any valuation models for Takara Holdings Inc.
Model Settings
Discount Rate
4.82%
Forecast Period
5 Years
Terminal Growth
0%
Discount Rate
4.82%
Terminal Growth
0%
Growth Period
5 Years
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DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

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To view the process of deriving the DCF Value of one share from the estimated Present Value, see the DCF Value Calculation block.

DCF Value Calculation

Depending on which type of operating model is chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added.

Capital Structure
From Present Value to DCF Value

Present Value 506B JPY
Equity Value 506B JPY
/ Shares Outstanding 198M
2531 DCF Value 2 561.11 JPY
Undervalued by 57%

To view the process of calculating the Present Value of Takara Holdings Inc' future free cash flow, see the Present Value Calculation block.

Valuation Analysis

After the valuation process, in order to gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between risk and opportunity, it is useful to study the dynamic of company's valuation under various inputs to the DCF model in use.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
360B 491B
Net Income
22.1B 31B
FCFE
18B 25.5B

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

See Also

Similar Stocks
What is the DCF value of one 2531 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 2531 stock is 2 561.11 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 1 091 JPY, the stock is Undervalued by 57%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Using the DCF Operating Model we project Takara Holdings Inc's future free cash flow and discount it at a selected discount rate to calculate its Present Value (506B JPY).

2. DCF Value Calculation. We use the company's capital structure to calculate the total Equity Value based on the previously computed Present Value of the free cash flow. Dividing the Equity Value by the number of shares outstanding gives us the DCF Value of 2 561.11 JPY per one 2531 share.