Japan Tobacco Inc
TSE:2914
Intrinsic Value
Japan Tobacco, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of tobacco, pharmaceutical and processed food products. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
Japan Tobacco Inc
stock under the Base Case scenario is
5 703.1
JPY.
Compared to the current market price of 4 156 JPY,
Japan Tobacco Inc
is
Undervalued by 27%.
Japan Tobacco Inc could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Japan Tobacco Inc's market capitalization is 7.4T JPY.
Japan Tobacco Inc stock price is 4 156 JPY.
Japan Tobacco Inc stock price (4156 JPY) is 27% less than its Intrinsic Value (5 703.1 JPY).
Japan Tobacco Inc stock price (4156 JPY) is 50% less than its DCF Value (8 349.97 JPY). Open DCF Valuation
Japan Tobacco Inc stock (3 056.23 JPY) is 26% less than its price (4156 JPY). Open Relative Valuation
Japan Tobacco Inc has downside potential of 1% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
Japan Tobacco Inc's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.5.
Japan Tobacco Inc's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 13% to 13%.
Japan Tobacco Inc's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 9%.
Japan Tobacco Inc's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 8% to 9%.
Japan Tobacco Inc's Revenue has grown by 7% over the past 12 months.
Japan Tobacco Inc's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 13%.
Japan Tobacco Inc has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 9%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
Japan Tobacco Inc's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 4% per year over the next 3 years.
Japan Tobacco Inc has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 13%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
Japan Tobacco Inc has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
Japan Tobacco Inc's Revenue has been growing by 11% per year for the last 3 years.
Japan Tobacco Inc has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (1T JPY) than cash and short-term investments (1T JPY).
Japan Tobacco Inc has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
Japan Tobacco Inc's short-term assets (3T JPY) exceed its short-term liabilties (2T JPY).
Japan Tobacco Inc's long-term assets (7T JPY) exceed its long-term liabilties (3T JPY).
Japan Tobacco Inc has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
Japan Tobacco Inc has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
Japan Tobacco Inc's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.29.
Japan Tobacco Inc earns more than enough operating income (666B JPY) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (26B JPY).
Valuation Backtest
Japan Tobacco Inc
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Japan Tobacco Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Japan Tobacco Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Japan Tobacco Inc
| Current Assets | 3.3T |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.1T |
| Receivables | 535.3B |
| Other Current Assets | 1.6T |
| Non-Current Assets | 4T |
| Long-Term Investments | 222.4B |
| PP&E | 821.5B |
| Intangibles | 2.8T |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 155.2B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.9T |
| Accounts Payable | 299.7B |
| Short-Term Debt | 209B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 1.4T |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 1.5T |
| Long-Term Debt | 908.9B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 615.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Japan Tobacco Inc
|
Revenue
|
2.8T
JPY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.2T
JPY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
1.6T
JPY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-948.7B
JPY
|
|
Operating Income
|
666.4B
JPY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-184.1B
JPY
|
|
Net Income
|
482.3B
JPY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Japan Tobacco Inc
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Japan Tobacco Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Japan Tobacco Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Japan Tobacco Inc's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Japan Tobacco Inc's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Japan Tobacco Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
Japan Tobacco Inc
is 4 109.95 JPY
with a low forecast of 3 386.53 JPY and a high forecast of 4 725 JPY.
Shareholder Return
Price
Japan Tobacco Inc
| Average Annual Return | 8.05% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 14.63% |
| Max Drawdown | -24% |
| Market Capitalization | 7.4T JPY |
| Shares Outstanding | 1 775 307 972 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Japan Tobacco Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Japan Tobacco, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of tobacco, pharmaceutical and processed food products. The company is headquartered in Minato-Ku, Tokyo-To and currently employs 55,381 full-time employees. The firm operates through four business segments. The Domestic Tobacco segment is engaged in the production and sale of manufactured tobacco in Japan (including domestic duty-free market and China, Hong Kong and Macao markets under the jurisdiction of China Business Division). The International Tobacco segment is engaged in the production and sale of manufactured tobacco overseas. The Medical segment is engaged in the research, development, production and sale of medical drugs. The Food Processing segment is engaged in the manufacture and sale of frozen and ambient temperature processed foods, bakery, seasoning, among others. The firm is also involved in the leasing of real estate.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
Japan Tobacco Inc
stock under the Base Case scenario is
5 703.1
JPY.
Compared to the current market price of 4 156 JPY,
Japan Tobacco Inc
is
Undervalued by 27%.
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