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Advance Residence Investment Corp
TSE:3269

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Advance Residence Investment Corp Logo
Advance Residence Investment Corp
TSE:3269
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Price: 335 000 JPY -0.3% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Mar 28, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one 3269 stock is 297 469 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 335 000 JPY, the stock is Overvalued by 11%.

DCF Value
Base Case
297 469 JPY
Overvaluation 11%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
297 469
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 297 469 JPY

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 60.4B JPY. The present value of the terminal value is 250.8B JPY. The total present value equals 311.2B JPY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 311.2B JPY
+ Cash & Equivalents 17.5B JPY
+ Investments 298.3B JPY
Firm Value 627B JPY
- Debt 205.2B JPY
Equity Value 421.8B JPY
/ Shares Outstanding 1.4m
3269 DCF Value 297 469 JPY
Overvalued by 11%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
28.1B 30.4B
Operating Income
13.8B 15B
FCFF
13.2B 11.2B

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one 3269 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 3269 stock is 297 469 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 335 000 JPY, the stock is Overvalued by 11%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Advance Residence Investment Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 311.2B JPY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 297 469 JPY per share.

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