Advantage Energy Ltd
TSX:AAV
Intrinsic Value
Advantage Energy Ltd. engages in the development and production of natural gas and liquids. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
AAV
stock under the Base Case scenario is
12.18
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.37 CAD,
Advantage Energy Ltd
is
Undervalued by 15%.
AAV could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Advantage Energy Ltd's market capitalization is 1.7B CAD.
AAV stock price is 10.37 CAD.
AAV stock price (10.37 CAD) is 15% less than its Intrinsic Value (12.18 CAD).
AAV has upside potential of 24% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
AAV's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 2% to 5%.
AAV's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 7%.
AAV's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 5%.
AAV's short-term assets (120m CAD) exceed its short-term liabilties (96m CAD).
AAV has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 14%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
AAV's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from -2% to 7%.
AAV has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 16%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
AAV has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
AAV's Revenue has dropped by 41% over the past 12 months.
AAV has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
AAV's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 29% per year for the last 3 years.
AAV has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
AAV has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
AAV's long-term assets (2B CAD) exceed its long-term liabilties (743m CAD).
AAV's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 1.19.
AAV's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.17.
AAV has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (261m CAD) than cash and short-term investments (19m CAD).
AAV generates enough operating income (143m CAD) to cover interest payments on its debt (28m CAD).
Valuation Backtest
Advantage Energy Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AAV
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Advantage Energy Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Advantage Energy Ltd
| Current Assets | 120.5m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 19.3m |
| Receivables | 53.4m |
| Other Current Assets | 47.8m |
| Non-Current Assets | 2.2B |
| PP&E | 2.1B |
| Intangibles | 5.4m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 84m |
| Current Liabilities | 96.4m |
| Accounts Payable | 70.6m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 5.4m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 20.5m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 646.3m |
| Long-Term Debt | 260.6m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 385.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
Advantage Energy Ltd
|
Revenue
|
509.4m
CAD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-88.4m
CAD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
421m
CAD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-278.4m
CAD
|
|
Operating Income
|
142.6m
CAD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-41m
CAD
|
|
Net Income
|
101.6m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Advantage Energy Ltd
AAV Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Advantage Energy Ltd's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Advantage Energy Ltd's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AAV Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Advantage Energy Ltd's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Advantage Energy Ltd's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AAV Price Targets Summary
Advantage Energy Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AAV
is 12.85 CAD
with a low forecast of 9.6 CAD and a high forecast of 17.85 CAD.
Shareholder Return
AAV Price
Advantage Energy Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 83.12% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 175.05% |
| Max Drawdown | -65% |
| Market Capitalization | 1.7B CAD |
| Shares Outstanding | 159 800 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 1.01% |
Company Profile
Advantage Energy Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Advantage Energy Ltd. engages in the development and production of natural gas and liquids. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta and currently employs 42 full-time employees. The firm is focused on development and delineation of its Montney natural gas and liquids resource at Glacier, Wembley/Pipestone, Valhalla and Progress, Alberta. The firm's Montney assets are located from approximately 4-80 Kilometers (km) northwest of the city of Grande Prairie, Alberta. The Company’s land holdings consist of approximately 228 net sections (145,920 net acres) of liquids-rich Montney lands at Glacier, Valhalla, Progress and Pipestone/Wembley.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AAV
stock under the Base Case scenario is
12.18
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.37 CAD,
Advantage Energy Ltd
is
Undervalued by 15%.
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