Algoma Central Corp
TSX:ALC
Intrinsic Value
Algoma Central Corp. engages in owning and operating flag fleet of dry-bulk carriers and product tankers. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
ALC
stock under the Base Case scenario is
26.04
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 14.645 CAD,
Algoma Central Corp
is
Undervalued by 44%.
ALC could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Algoma Central Corp's market capitalization is 566m CAD.
ALC stock price is 14.645 CAD.
ALC stock price (14.645 CAD) is 44% less than its Intrinsic Value (26.04 CAD).
ALC stock price (14.645 CAD) is 42% less than its Relative Value (25.229 CAD). Open Relative Valuation
ALC has upside potential of 51% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
ALC's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 6% to 5%.
ALC's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 11%.
ALC's Revenue has grown by 6% over the past 12 months.
ALC's short-term assets (161m CAD) exceed its short-term liabilties (147m CAD).
ALC's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from 8% to 11%.
ALC's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 6% per year over the next 3 years.
ALC has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
ALC has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
ALC's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 5%.
ALC has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 13%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
ALC has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 7%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
ALC's Revenue has been growing by 10% per year for the last 3 years.
ALC's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.12.
ALC has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
ALC has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
ALC's long-term assets (1B CAD) exceed its long-term liabilties (566m CAD).
ALC's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.41.
ALC has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (317m CAD) than cash and short-term investments (33m CAD).
ALC generates enough operating income (75m CAD) to cover interest payments on its debt (18m CAD).
Valuation Backtest
Algoma Central Corp
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
ALC
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Algoma Central Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Algoma Central Corp
| Current Assets | 161.4m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 32.8m |
| Receivables | 100.4m |
| Other Current Assets | 28.2m |
| Non-Current Assets | 1.2B |
| Long-Term Investments | 260.9m |
| PP&E | 809.1m |
| Intangibles | 7.9m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 104.8m |
| Current Liabilities | 147.2m |
| Accounts Payable | 82.7m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 681k |
| Other Current Liabilities | 63.8m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 418.7m |
| Long-Term Debt | 316.6m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 102.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Algoma Central Corp
|
Revenue
|
721.2m
CAD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-539.1m
CAD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
182.1m
CAD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-107.6m
CAD
|
|
Operating Income
|
74.5m
CAD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
8.3m
CAD
|
|
Net Income
|
82.9m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Algoma Central Corp
ALC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Algoma Central Corp's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Algoma Central Corp's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ALC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Algoma Central Corp's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Algoma Central Corp's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ALC Price Targets Summary
Algoma Central Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
ALC
is 22.185 CAD
with a low forecast of 18.685 CAD and a high forecast of 26.25 CAD.
Shareholder Return
ALC Price
Algoma Central Corp
| Average Annual Return | 18.62% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 15.54% |
| Max Drawdown | -47% |
| Market Capitalization | 566m CAD |
| Shares Outstanding | 38 509 100 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 1.86% |
Company Profile
Algoma Central Corp
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Algoma Central Corp. engages in owning and operating flag fleet of dry-bulk carriers and product tankers. The company is headquartered in St. Catharines, Ontario and currently employs 1,600 full-time employees. The firm owns and operates a fleet of dry and liquid bulk carriers operating on the Great Lakes - St. Lawrence Waterway. Its Canadian flag fleet consists of self-unloading dry-bulk carriers, gearless dry-bulk carriers and product tankers. Its Domestic Dry-Bulk marine transportation segment includes ownership and management of the operational and commercial activities of its 19-vessel fleet. Its Product Tankers marine transportation segment includes ownership and management of the operational and commercial activities of seven Canadian flag tanker vessels operating on the St. Lawrence Seaway and the east coast of North America. Its Ocean Self-Unloaders marine transportation segment includes ownership interests in eight ocean-going self-unloading vessels. Its Global Short Sea Shipping segment includes its 50% interest in NovaAlgoma Cement Carriers Limited, NovaAlgoma Short-Sea Holdings Ltd. and other.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
ALC
stock under the Base Case scenario is
26.04
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 14.645 CAD,
Algoma Central Corp
is
Undervalued by 44%.
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