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Azarga Uranium Corp Logo

Azarga Uranium Corp
TSX:AZZ

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Azarga Uranium Corp Logo
Azarga Uranium Corp
TSX:AZZ
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Discount Rate
Price: 0.71 CAD 7.58%
Market Cap: 166.3m CAD
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Popular Prompts Strategic Analysis Valuation Future Outlook Peer Analysis Profitability Solvency Financials
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Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Analysis
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Intrinsic Value

AZZ price has not been updated for more than 1 year. This may indicate that the stock has been delisted.

There is not enough data to reliably calculate the intrinsic value of AZZ.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

DCF Value
N/A
Relative Value
N/A
DCF Value
CAD
Relative Value
CAD
What is Intrinsic Value? What is DCF Value? What is Relative Value?
AZZ Intrinsic Value
Not Available
Base Case Scenario
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Fundamental Analysis

Azarga Uranium Corp
TSX:AZZ
US
Energy
Market Cap
174.2m CAD
IPO
Nov 1, 2007
US
Energy
Market Cap
174.2m CAD
IPO
Nov 1, 2007
Price
CA$false
EPS
$false
5Y
+294%
10Y
+163%
All
|
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Azarga Uranium Corp
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0
Revenue
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Operating Income
0
Net Income
0
EPS
0
Operating Cash Flow
0
Free Cash Flow

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Azarga Uranium Corp

Dec 2011 Mar 2012 Jun 2012 Sep 2012 Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Mar 2014 Jun 2014 Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020 Mar 2021 Jun 2021 Sep 2021
A
Q
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Azarga Uranium Corp

47.1m
Assets
9.6m
Liabilities
47.1m
Assets
9.6m
Liabilities
Current Assets 2.4m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 2.3m
Other Current Assets 89.5k
Non-Current Assets 44.6m
PP&E 43.9m
Other Non-Current Assets 720k
Current Liabilities 317.3k
Accounts Payable 301.7k
Other Current Liabilities 15.7k
Non-Current Liabilities 9.3m
Long-Term Debt 41.6k
Other Non-Current Liabilities 9.2m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Azarga Uranium Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
0
Operating Margin
0
Net Margin
0
FCF Margin
0
ROE
0
ROA
0
ROIC
0
ROCE

Earnings Waterfall
Azarga Uranium Corp

Revenue
0 USD
Operating Expenses
-1.9m USD
Operating Income
-1.9m USD
Other Expenses
-6.5m USD
Net Income
-8.4m USD
Fundamental Scores

AZZ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Azarga Uranium Corp's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Declining ROIC
Declining ROE
Low 3Y Average Gross Margin
Low 3Y Average Net Margin
Declining ROIC
-4% > -4%
Declining ROE
-22% > -22%
Low 3Y Average Gross Margin
0%
Low 3Y Average Net Margin
0%
34/100
Profitability
Score

Azarga Uranium Corp's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

View Profitability Analysis
AZZ Profitability Report
View Profitability Analysis

AZZ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Azarga Uranium Corp's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
High Altman Z-Score
8.39
Short-Term Solvency Long-Term Solvency Negative Net Debt
-2.3m USD
87/100
Solvency
Score

Azarga Uranium Corp's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

View Solvency Analysis
AZZ Solvency Report
View Solvency Analysis

Wall St
Price Targets

AZZ Price Targets Summary
Azarga Uranium Corp

There are no price targets for AZZ.
AZZ Lowest Forecast
Wall Street Target
Not Available
AZZ Average Forecast
Wall Street Target
Not Available
AZZ Highest Forecast
Wall Street Target
Not Available
Lowest
Price Target
Not Available
Average
Price Target
Not Available
Highest
Price Target
Not Available
View Analyst Estimates
AZZ Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
What is Dividend Safety Rate?
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for AZZ is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
= Dividend Yield
+ Buyback Yield
+ Debt Paydown Yield
Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y

See Also

Summary
AZZ intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation
AZZ stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation
AZZ stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates
AZZ price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability Analysis
Detailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency Analysis
Analysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
Financials
Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate
AZZ stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
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What is intrinsic value?

Stock intrinsic value is the real worth of a company's stock, based on its financial health and performance.

Instead of looking at the stock's current market price, which can change due to people's opinions and emotions, intrinsic value helps us understand if a stock is truly a good deal or not.

By focusing on the company's actual financial strength, like its earnings and debts, we can make better decisions about which stocks to buy and when.

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What is DCF valuation?

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a method of estimating the current value of a company based on projected future cash flows adjusted for the time value of money.

DCF valuation is one of two methods of placing a monetary value on a company; the other is Relative Valuation method. We use a combination of these two methods to calculate the Intrinsic Value of stock as accurately as possible.

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How is DCF value calculated?

Alpha Spread forecasts a company's future cash flow and estimates the appropriate discount rate to calculate the DCF value of a stock.

1. Free cash flow forecasting

You can view the operating model used to estimate free cash flow in the "DCF Operating Model" block. You can change model inputs forecasted by our algorithm (such as revenue growth, margins, etc.) if you are a professional analyst and have your own opinion about them.
Click here to read more about FCF forecasting.

2. Calculating present value

Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate (which you can also change in the DCF settings). The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow.

DCF Operating Model
Capital Structure
3. Calculating the value of equity

Depending on which type of operating model for the company our algorithm has chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added. You can see these and subsequent steps in the block "Capital structure".

4. Calculating the DCF value of one stock

In order to come from the value of equity to the DCF value of one share, we only need divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding.

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What are valuation scenarios?

A stock has no absolute intrinsic value because the future is not predetermined.

We build several DCF models for different scenarios of the company's future so you can see a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

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What is relative valuation?

Relative valuation is used to value companies by comparing them to other businesses based on certain metrics such as EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, and P/E ratios.

Relative valuation is one of two methods of placing a monetary value on a company; the other is Discounted Cash Flow valuation method. We use a combination of these two methods to calculate the Intrinsic Value of stock as accurately as possible.

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How is Relative Value calculated?

Our algorithm takes into account all the information about the company's valuation multiples (their historical values, how competitors are priced, and much more) and consolidates it into one single number - relative value.

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What is Economic Moat

The most important thing to me is figuring out how big a moat there is around the business. What I love, of course, is a big castle and a big moat with piranhas and crocodiles.

Warren Buffett

Economic Moat is a concept popularized by Warren Buffett to describe a company's durable competitive advantage. It represents the 'moat' that protects a company from competitors and helps it sustain profitability over the long term. Our analysis of the past 10 years showed that companies with a wide economic moat significantly outperformed the market, delivering +645% returns compared to +189% for the S&P 500.

Research Insights: The Power of Wide Economic Moat

Our research into Economic Moat performance spans the past 10 years and focuses on companies with a wide economic moat. For this analysis, we calculated the average stock price returns of these companies, comparing them to the performance of the S&P 500 index over the same period.

The results were compelling: wide moat stocks achieved a remarkable +645% average return, compared to +188% for the broader market. This difference highlights the long-term benefits of investing in businesses that can maintain their market position and pricing power over time.

Note: This research does not account for survivorship bias. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

How We Determine a Company's Economic Moat

Determining whether a company has an economic moat requires both a deep dive into financial metrics and a qualitative assessment of its competitive position. Our analysts conduct a rigorous evaluation that focuses on identifying structural advantages that enable a company to sustain profitability and defend its market share over the long term.

The process begins with an analysis of a company’s historical financial performance. We assess how consistently the company has generated returns above its cost of capital and whether those returns have been stable or improving. However, financial performance alone doesn’t reveal the full picture. To understand the sources of these advantages, we evaluate five key drivers of economic moats:

Network Effect: We analyze whether the value of a company’s product or service grows as its user base expands. Platforms like payment systems or marketplaces benefit from this self-reinforcing.

Switching Costs: We assess whether customers face significant costs or disruptions when switching to a competitor’s product or service. High switching costs create customer stickiness and provide pricing power.

Intangible Assets: Strong brands, patents, and regulatory licenses can protect a company’s market position by creating barriers for competitors or enabling premium pricing. For example, a well-recognized consumer brand may command higher customer loyalty and margins.

Efficient scale: Occurs when a market is optimally served by one or a few players, making it unprofitable for new entrants to compete. This typically happens in industries with high fixed costs or geographic constraints, such as utilities or pipelines.

Cost Advantage: Companies with structural cost advantages can produce goods or services at a lower cost than their competitors, enabling them to offer competitive pricing or maintain higher margins. These advantages often arise from economies of scale, superior supply chain management, or proprietary technology. Firms like Walmart leverage their massive scale to negotiate better terms with suppliers, allowing them to undercut competitors on price.

By examining these factors in combination with a company’s financial performance and market positioning, we classify each company into one of three categories:

Wide Moat
Strong and sustainable advantages that are expected to last for decades
Narrow Moat
Moderate advantages that provide some protection but are less durable
No Moat
No identifiable long-term competitive advantages

This rigorous evaluation ensures that our moat ratings are both comprehensive and reliable, giving investors the tools they need to make well-informed, long-term decisions.

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What is Free Cash Flow?

Free Cash Flow (FCF) is the money a company has left over after it pays for all its expenses and any investments it needs to make to keep the company running smoothly.

Think of it like your personal budget at home: after you pay for your necessities, like rent and groceries, and set aside money for future needs, like saving for a car or home repairs, the cash you have left is what you're free to spend or save as you wish.

Why is FCF important?

It's a sign of a company's health and its ability to do things like grow its business, pay dividends to shareholders, or reduce debt.

Flexibility: Companies with more FCF can make big moves without having to borrow money or ask for more investment, giving them the freedom to grow or tackle new projects on their terms.

Rewards for Investors: When a company has extra cash, it can decide to give some back to its investors through dividends or by buying back shares, which can increase the value of the remaining shares.

A Healthy Sign: Regularly having more cash coming in than going out shows that a company is doing well, making smart decisions, and earning more than it spends.

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Shareholder Yield is an integrated metric that represents the total returns a company delivers to its shareholders, including dividends, share buybacks, and debt reduction. It offers a holistic view of a company's capital return strategies, going beyond simple dividend yields to encompass all forms of shareholder returns.

Components

The calculation of Shareholder Yield involves summing the dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield:

• Dividend Yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividends per share by the stock price per share.

• Buyback Yield reflects the decrease in shares outstanding, showing how much a company is investing in repurchasing its shares.

• Debt Paydown Yield measures the reduction of debt in relation to the company’s market capitalization, highlighting efforts to reduce financial liabilities.

Implications for Investors

High Shareholder Yield is often associated with superior long-term performance in the stock market, making it a crucial measure for investors seeking stocks that consistently deliver high returns through dividends, buybacks, and effective debt management. This metric highlights the importance of looking beyond traditional dividend yields to consider how companies return capital to shareholders in other ways, enhancing overall investment analysis.

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Buyback Yield measures how much a company reduces its outstanding shares through repurchases, expressed as a percentage. It is calculated by taking the decrease in shares outstanding during a period, dividing it by the total shares at the beginning of that period, and then converting this figure into a percentage.

This metric is crucial for calculating Shareholder Yield as it directly reflects the company’s efforts to return value to shareholders. By reducing the number of shares, buybacks can increase earnings per share and potentially boost the stock's price. Including Buyback Yield provides a fuller understanding of how capital is used to enhance shareholder returns, alongside dividends and debt reduction.

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Debt Paydown Yield measures the amount of debt a company repays within a specific period, shown as a percentage of its market capitalization. It is calculated by taking the reduction in total debt from the beginning to the end of the period, dividing this amount by the company's market capitalization at the start of the period, and then expressing the result as a percentage.

This metric is important for calculating Shareholder Yield because it indicates how the company is using its capital to decrease financial liabilities, which can strengthen its financial health and potentially enhance shareholder value. Including Debt Paydown Yield in the Shareholder Yield calculation gives investors insight into the company's commitment to reducing debt alongside returning value through dividends and buybacks.

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Dividend Safety Rate

Dividend Safety Rate is a comprehensive numerical rating that helps investors evaluate the risk associated with a company’s dividend payments. Ranging from 0 to 100, the rate provides an assessment where higher values denote greater security and lower likelihood of a dividend cut. This measure is particularly valuable for income-focused investors as it synthesizes key financial indicators including payout ratios, dividend history, and the overall financial health of the company.

Risk Categories
0-25
Very Unsafe
High risk of dividend cut
26-50
Unsafe
Dividend is vulnerable
51-75
Safe
Dividend is well-supported
76-100
Very Safe
Dividend is highly secure
Rigorous Analysis

By incorporating both dividend performance and broader financial metrics, the Dividend Safety Rate offers a holistic view of a company’s ability to maintain and potentially increase its dividend payments.

In calculating the Dividend Safety Rate, we consider a variety of financial metrics:

Multiple Payout Ratios: These include the current payout ratio and average historical payout ratios, which help assess how comfortably a company can cover its dividend payments with its earnings.

Dividend Growth Streak: The number of consecutive years a company has increased its dividend, indicating reliability and stability in its dividend policy.

Solvency and Profitability Ratios: These ratios evaluate a company’s ability to meet its long-term obligations and its overall financial health, which are crucial for sustaining dividend payments over time.

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Warning
AZZ is delisted

This means that the stock is removed from a stock exchange and can no longer be traded.

Delisting typically occurs when a stock no longer meets exchange requirements. Other reasons for delisting may include legal violations, bankruptcy, a decrease in the number of shareholders, and acquisition by another company.

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