Canfor Pulp Products Inc
TSX:CFX
Intrinsic Value
Canfor Pulp Products, Inc. engages in the manufacture, supply, and sale of pulp and paper products. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
CFX
stock under the Base Case scenario is
4.94
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 1.49 CAD,
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
is
Undervalued by 70%.
Canfor Pulp Products Inc's market capitalization is 97.2m CAD.
CFX stock price is 1.49 CAD.
CFX stock price (1.49 CAD) is 70% less than its Intrinsic Value (4.94 CAD).
CFX has upside potential of 33% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
CFX's short-term liabilties (256m CAD) exceed its short-term assets (250m CAD).
CFX has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
CFX has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
CFX's Revenue has been falling by 4% per year for the last 3 years.
CFX's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -5% to -16%, and is approaching profitability.
CFX's Revenue has dropped by 23% over the past 12 months.
CFX's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -4% to -21%, and is approaching profitability.
CFX's long-term assets (661m CAD) exceed its long-term liabilties (324m CAD).
CFX has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
CFX has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
CFX's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -16%.
CFX's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -21%.
CFX has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (113m CAD) than cash and short-term investments (26m CAD).
CFX has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -8%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
CFX's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.33.
CFX has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -15%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
CFX's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.75.
CFX doesn't generate enough operating income (-117m CAD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (13m CAD).
Valuation Backtest
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
CFX
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
| Current Assets | 249.6m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 26.1m |
| Receivables | 60.8m |
| Other Current Assets | 162.7m |
| Non-Current Assets | 411.8m |
| PP&E | 403.1m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 8.7m |
| Current Liabilities | 256m |
| Accounts Payable | 144m |
| Short-Term Debt | 111m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 1m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 68.1m |
| Long-Term Debt | 1.5m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 66.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
|
Revenue
|
854.5m
CAD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-759.1m
CAD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
95.4m
CAD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-212.8m
CAD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-117.4m
CAD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
37.7m
CAD
|
|
Net Income
|
-79.7m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
CFX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Canfor Pulp Products Inc's profitability score is 25/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Canfor Pulp Products Inc's profitability score is 25/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CFX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Canfor Pulp Products Inc's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Canfor Pulp Products Inc's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CFX Price Targets Summary
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CFX
is 1.99 CAD
with a low forecast of 1.52 CAD and a high forecast of 2.89 CAD.
Shareholder Return
CFX Price
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
| Average Annual Return | -23.72% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 14.64% |
| Max Drawdown | -89% |
| Market Capitalization | 97.2m CAD |
| Shares Outstanding | 65 233 559 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 2.07% |
Company Profile
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Canfor Pulp Products, Inc. engages in the manufacture, supply, and sale of pulp and paper products. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia and currently employs 1,277 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-07-06. The firm operates through two segments: pulp and paper. The pulp segment includes purchase of residual fiber, and production and sale of pulp products, including Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft (NBSK) pulp and Bleached Chemi-Thermo Mechanical Pulp (BCTMP) as well as energy revenues. The paper segment includes production and sale of paper products, including bleached, unbleached and colored paper. The firm owns and operates three NBSK pulp mills with an annual production capacity of approximately 1.1 million tons of northern softwood market kraft pulp. Its Northwood pulp mill is a two-line pulp mill. Its Intercontinental pulp mill is a single-line pulp mill, and its Prince George pulp and paper mill is an integrated two-line pulp and paper mill. The firm also owns and operates the Taylor pulp mill.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
CFX
stock under the Base Case scenario is
4.94
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 1.49 CAD,
Canfor Pulp Products Inc
is
Undervalued by 70%.
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