Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
TSX:CTC.A
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Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
Intrinsic Value
Canadian Tire Corp. Ltd. operates as a general merchandise retailer for gasoline, automotive, sports and home products. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
CTC.A
stock under the Base Case scenario is
226.1
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 143.99 CAD,
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
is
Undervalued by 36%.
CTC.A could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd's market capitalization is 8B CAD.
CTC.A stock price is 143.99 CAD.
CTC.A stock price (143.99 CAD) is 36% less than its Intrinsic Value (226.1 CAD).
CTC.A stock price (143.99 CAD) is 40% less than its Relative Value (238.84 CAD). Open Relative Valuation
CTC.A has upside potential of 8% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
CTC.A has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
CTC.A's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 2% per year over the next 3 years.
CTC.A's Revenue has been growing by 2% per year for the last 3 years.
CTC.A's Revenue has dropped by 7% over the past 12 months.
CTC.A's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 9% to 4%.
CTC.A's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 5%.
CTC.A's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 4%.
CTC.A has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
CTC.A has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 7%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
CTC.A has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
CTC.A's long-term assets (22B CAD) exceed its long-term liabilties (17B CAD).
CTC.A's D/E (Debt to Equity) is equal to 1.46.
CTC.A has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 18%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
CTC.A's short-term assets (12B CAD) exceed its short-term liabilties (7B CAD).
CTC.A has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
CTC.A's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 27% to 5%.
CTC.A's Altman Z-Score is equal to 1.83.
CTC.A has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (8B CAD) than cash and short-term investments (769m CAD).
CTC.A generates enough operating income (1B CAD) to cover interest payments on its debt (391m CAD).
Valuation Backtest
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
CTC.A
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Stable Sales and Challenges in Q2
Earnings Call Summary
The company reported a stable sales performance, slightly up 0.1% from the previous year, while normalized diluted EPS remained almost flat at CAD 3.08. However, reported income dropped to CAD 1.76, down by CAD 0.67. Costs stemming from a distribution center fire are expected to decrease, but have already impacted EPS by an additional CAD 0.15. Retail sales dipped under 3% to CAD 5.2 billion, due to a 19% fall in petroleum sales. Revenue grew by 7% over last year, although gross margin faced declines due to higher write-offs and net interest expenses, with the ECL allowance finishing at 12.7% and within target.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
| Current Assets | 11.9B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 768.6m |
| Receivables | 8B |
| Other Current Assets | 3.1B |
| Non-Current Assets | 10.6B |
| Long-Term Investments | 509.2m |
| PP&E | 7.1B |
| Intangibles | 2.2B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 748.8m |
| Current Liabilities | 6.7B |
| Accounts Payable | 2.8B |
| Short-Term Debt | 1.7B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 2.2B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 10.1B |
| Long-Term Debt | 6.3B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
|
Revenue
|
16.5B
CAD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-10.8B
CAD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
5.7B
CAD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-4.4B
CAD
|
|
Operating Income
|
1.3B
CAD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-977.9m
CAD
|
|
Net Income
|
282.3m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
| CAD | |
| Free Cash Flow | CAD |
CTC.A Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CTC.A Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd's solvency score is 34/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd's solvency score is 34/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CTC.A Price Targets Summary
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CTC.A
is 155.45 CAD
with a low forecast of 122.21 CAD and a high forecast of 199.5 CAD.
Click here to dive deeper.
Price Appreciation
CTC.A Price
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 4.01% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 17.85% |
| Max Drawdown | -53% |
| Market Capitalization | 8B CAD |
| Shares Outstanding | 57 432 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 2.05% |
Company Profile
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Canadian Tire Corp. Ltd. operates as a general merchandise retailer for gasoline, automotive, sports and home products. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario and currently employs 13,435 full-time employees. The firm operates through three segments: Retail, Financial Services, and CT REIT. The Retail segment includes business, which is conducted under a number of banners, including Canadian Tire, Canadian Tire Gas (Petroleum), Mark’s, PartSource, Helly Hansen, Party City1 and various SportChek banners. This segment also includes the Dealer Loan Program. The Financial Services segment provides financial and other ancillary products and services, including Triangle-branded consumer credit cards, in-store financing, insurance products, and retail and broker deposits. In addition, Financial Services segment provides payment processing services to the Company's retail banners. The CT REIT segment operates as a closed-end real estate investment trust. This segment owns, develops and leases income-producing real estate properties across Canada.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
CTC.A
stock under the Base Case scenario is
226.1
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 143.99 CAD,
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd
is
Undervalued by 36%.
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