Dollarama Inc
TSX:DOL
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
DOL
stock under the Base Case scenario is
88.84
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 192.11 CAD,
Dollarama Inc
is
Overvalued by 54%.
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Fundamental Analysis
Mounting wage inflation and higher shipping costs could erode Dollarama’s historically robust margins. With rising labor expenses outpacing the company’s ability to push costs down the supply chain, operating profit could see significant compression.
Dollarama’s aggressive store expansion strategy within Canada risks saturating key markets. If new locations begin cannibalizing sales from existing stores, same-store sales could stagnate and impair overall profitability.
Heavy reliance on international suppliers leaves Dollarama vulnerable to adverse currency movements. Should the Canadian dollar weaken meaningfully against the U.S. dollar, the cost of imported goods would rise and margins could be squeezed.
Dollarama’s proven ability to open new stores without cannibalizing existing sales underscores continued room for domestic growth. A disciplined site-selection process and strong brand recognition position it to maintain traffic levels.
Inflationary pressures could drive more Canadians to seek discount options, and Dollarama’s low-price model may become increasingly attractive. This would provide a near-term tailwind to sales and potentially expand the customer base.
By leveraging vast economies of scale with overseas suppliers, Dollarama can maintain cost advantages over smaller discount retailers. This purchasing power helps the company keep product prices low while preserving healthy margins.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Dollarama Inc
Earnings Waterfall
Dollarama Inc
Wall St
Price Targets
DOL Price Targets Summary
Dollarama Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
DOL
is 221.48 CAD
with a low forecast of 196.95 CAD and a high forecast of 246.75 CAD.
The intrinsic value of one
DOL
stock under the Base Case scenario is
88.84
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 192.11 CAD,
Dollarama Inc
is
Overvalued by 54%.