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Dollarama Inc
TSX:DOL

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Dollarama Inc
TSX:DOL
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Price: 192.11 CAD -0.66%
Market Cap: CA$52.6B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one DOL stock under the Base Case scenario is 88.84 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 192.11 CAD, Dollarama Inc is Overvalued by 54%.

DOL Intrinsic Value
88.84 CAD
Overvaluation 54%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Dollarama Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Bear Theses

Mounting wage inflation and higher shipping costs could erode Dollarama’s historically robust margins. With rising labor expenses outpacing the company’s ability to push costs down the supply chain, operating profit could see significant compression.

Dollarama’s aggressive store expansion strategy within Canada risks saturating key markets. If new locations begin cannibalizing sales from existing stores, same-store sales could stagnate and impair overall profitability.

Heavy reliance on international suppliers leaves Dollarama vulnerable to adverse currency movements. Should the Canadian dollar weaken meaningfully against the U.S. dollar, the cost of imported goods would rise and margins could be squeezed.

Bull Theses

Dollarama’s proven ability to open new stores without cannibalizing existing sales underscores continued room for domestic growth. A disciplined site-selection process and strong brand recognition position it to maintain traffic levels.

Inflationary pressures could drive more Canadians to seek discount options, and Dollarama’s low-price model may become increasingly attractive. This would provide a near-term tailwind to sales and potentially expand the customer base.

By leveraging vast economies of scale with overseas suppliers, Dollarama can maintain cost advantages over smaller discount retailers. This purchasing power helps the company keep product prices low while preserving healthy margins.

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Earnings Waterfall
Dollarama Inc

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Price Targets

DOL Price Targets Summary
Dollarama Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast DOL stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DOL is 221.48 CAD with a low forecast of 196.95 CAD and a high forecast of 246.75 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
196.95 CAD
3% Upside
Average
Price Target
221.48 CAD
15% Upside
Highest
Price Target
246.75 CAD
28% Upside
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Dividends

Shareholder Yield

Competitive Landscape

DOL News

What is the Intrinsic Value of one DOL stock?

The intrinsic value of one DOL stock under the Base Case scenario is 88.84 CAD.

Is DOL stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 192.11 CAD, Dollarama Inc is Overvalued by 54%.

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