Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
WSE:PKN
Intrinsic Value
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN SA engages in the processing and trading of crude oil. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
PKN
stock under the Base Case scenario is
87.9
PLN.
Compared to the current market price of 67.6 PLN,
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
is
Undervalued by 23%.
PKN could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA's market capitalization is 78.5B PLN.
PKN stock price is 67.6 PLN.
PKN stock price (67.6 PLN) is 23% less than its Intrinsic Value (87.9 PLN).
PKN has upside potential of 11% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
PKN has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
PKN's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from 18% to 18%.
PKN's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 13% to 13%.
PKN's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 13%.
PKN has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
PKN has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (20B PLN) than cash and short-term investments (13B PLN).
PKN has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
PKN has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
PKN's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 18%.
PKN's short-term assets (96B PLN) exceed its short-term liabilties (69B PLN).
PKN's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 32% over the past 12 months.
PKN's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.78.
PKN has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 18%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
PKN's Revenue is forecast to fall at a rate of 12% per year over the next 3 years.
PKN has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 26%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
PKN's long-term assets (280B PLN) exceed its long-term liabilties (115B PLN).
PKN's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 63% per year for the last 3 years.
PKN's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.12.
PKN earns more than enough operating income (39B PLN) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (1B PLN).
Valuation Backtest
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
PKN
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Fundamental Analysis
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
| Current Assets | 96B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 13.3B |
| Receivables | 43.7B |
| Other Current Assets | 38.9B |
| Non-Current Assets | 184.1B |
| Long-Term Investments | 2.2B |
| PP&E | 161.2B |
| Intangibles | 14.4B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 6.2B |
| Current Liabilities | 69.4B |
| Accounts Payable | 41.5B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 28B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 45.9B |
| Long-Term Debt | 20B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 25.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
|
Revenue
|
372.6B
PLN
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-312.2B
PLN
|
|
Gross Profit
|
60.5B
PLN
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-21.6B
PLN
|
|
Operating Income
|
38.9B
PLN
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-11.3B
PLN
|
|
Net Income
|
27.6B
PLN
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
What is Free Cash Flow?
PKN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
PKN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
PKN Price Targets Summary
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
PKN
is 74.78 PLN
with a low forecast of 53.53 PLN and a high forecast of 94.82 PLN.
Shareholder Return
PKN Price
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
| Average Annual Return | -4.57% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 27.41% |
| Max Drawdown | -65% |
| Market Capitalization | 78.5B PLN |
| Shares Outstanding | 1 160 940 032 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN SA engages in the processing and trading of crude oil. The company is headquartered in Plock, Woj. Mazowieckie and currently employs 35,424 full-time employees. The company specializes in the manufacture, distribution, wholesale and retail sale of refined petrochemical products. The Company’s business is divided into three segments: Refining, including refinery products processing and wholesale, oil productions and sale as well as supporting production; Retail segment, including sales at petrol stations; and Petrochemical segment, including production and wholesale of petrochemicals and production and sale of chemicals. Its product portfolio includes fuel and petrochemical products, as well as oil derivatives, such as petrol, heating oil, aviation fuel and plastics. The company also produces and distributes electricity and thermal energy. The company operates several refineries located in Poland, Lithuania and the Czech Republic and a number of gasoline stations. The company operates Kicking Horse Energy Inc and FX Energy Inc.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
PKN
stock under the Base Case scenario is
87.9
PLN.
Compared to the current market price of 67.6 PLN,
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
is
Undervalued by 23%.
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