BHP Group Ltd
XHAM:BHP
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of 
BHP Group Ltd (BHP) under the Base Case is 50.13 EUR per share.
Compared with the current market price of 68.5 EUR, the stock appears
Overvalued by 27% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What BHP Group Does
BHP Group is one of the world’s largest mining companies. It digs up and processes iron ore, copper, metallurgical coal, nickel, and other minerals from large mines, then sells those raw materials to steelmakers, smelters, industrial manufacturers, and energy customers. Its business sits at the start of the industrial supply chain: it turns underground resources into the basic inputs other companies need to make steel, wiring, batteries, and other products.
- Headquarters
- Australia AU
- Employees
- 40 009
- IPO date
- May 28, 1987
BHP Group has no economic moat
Buyers can source comparable metals and minerals from competing miners, leaving BHP with limited control over selling prices. Its low-cost iron ore operations help it compete, but do not give it control over customers or prevent rivals from adding supply.
Read the full moat analysis
Earnings Waterfall
BHP Group Ltd
The intrinsic value for BHP Group Ltd (BHP) under the Base Case is 50.13 EUR.
Compared with the current market price of 68.5 EUR, the stock appears Overvalued by 27% .