BHP Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - BHP Group Ltd - Alpha Spread

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Price: 74 EUR 1.37% Market Closed

Market Cap: €376B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value for BHP Group Ltd (BHP) under the Base Case is 44.11 EUR. Compared with the current market price of 74 EUR, the stock appears Overvalued by 40% .

Multiples-Based Value

Multiples-Based Value

Both DCF and multiples point to overvaluation.

Why combine DCF with multiples? What is Intrinsic Value?

BHP Intrinsic Value

Overvaluation 40%

Intrinsic Value

Price €74

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20% below Intrinsic Value €35.29

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Current Price €74

Intrinsic Value €44.11

Margin of Safety 20% €35.29

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Fundamental Analysis

Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Dec 2016 Jun 2017 Dec 2017 Jun 2018 Dec 2018 Jun 2019 Dec 2019 Jun 2020 Dec 2020 Jun 2021 Dec 2021 Jun 2022 Dec 2022 Jun 2023 Dec 2023 Jun 2024 Dec 2024 Jun 2025 Dec 2025

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Relative Valuation

Wall St Estimates

The intrinsic value for BHP Group Ltd (BHP) under the Base Case is 44.11 EUR.

Compared with the current market price of 74 EUR, the stock appears Overvalued by 40% .

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