` Comparison: ATHA vs LLY - Alpha Spread

ATHA
vs
LLY

Over the past 12 months, ATHA has significantly outperformed LLY, delivering a return of +49% compared to the LLY's +12% growth.

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ATHA
LLY
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Valuation Comparison

ATHA Intrinsic Value
13.01 USD
Undervaluation 57%
Intrinsic Value
Price
LLY Intrinsic Value
560.85 USD
Overvaluation 46%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Athira Pharma Inc
NASDAQ:ATHA
5.61 USD
Eli Lilly and Co
NYSE:LLY
1 044.51 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
ATHA, LLY

ATHA
LLY
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Athira Pharma Inc
Revenue
Eli Lilly and Co
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
ATHA, LLY

ATHA
LLY
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Athira Pharma Inc
NASDAQ:ATHA
Eli Lilly and Co
NYSE:LLY
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

ATHA
0%
LLY
83%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

Operating Margin

ATHA
0%
LLY
45.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

Net Margin

ATHA
0%
LLY
31.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

FCF Margin

ATHA
0%
LLY
9.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

ROE

ATHA
-89.4%
LLY
108.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

ROA

ATHA
-64.9%
LLY
21.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

ROIC

ATHA
-364.5%
LLY
27.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

ROCE

ATHA
-91.6%
LLY
47.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Athira Pharma Inc
Eli Lilly and Co

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
ATHA, LLY

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Performance Gap
ATHA, LLY

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ATHA
LLY
Difference
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Performance By Year
ATHA, LLY

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ATHA
LLY
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett