` Comparison: FWRD, UPS - Alpha Spread

FWRD
vs
UPS

Over the past 12 months, FWRD has significantly outperformed UPS, delivering a return of +10% compared to the UPS's 30% drop.

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FWRD
UPS
One-click summary across all key metrics.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

FWRD Intrinsic Value
37.11 USD
Undervaluation 19%
Intrinsic Value
Price
UPS Intrinsic Value
128.56 USD
Undervaluation 33%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Forward Air Corp
NASDAQ:FWRD
29.89 USD
United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS
86.25 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
FWRD, UPS

FWRD
UPS
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Forward Air Corp
Revenue
United Parcel Service Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
FWRD, UPS

FWRD
UPS
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Forward Air Corp
NASDAQ:FWRD
United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

FWRD
41.4%
UPS
81.6%

Operating Margin

FWRD
2.7%
UPS
9.3%

Net Margin

FWRD
-32.1%
UPS
6.3%

FCF Margin

FWRD
-1.6%
UPS
3.9%

ROE

FWRD
-151%
UPS
35%

ROA

FWRD
-24.1%
UPS
8.2%

ROIC

FWRD
2.1%
UPS
11.5%

ROCE

FWRD
2.4%
UPS
15.1%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
FWRD, UPS

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Performance Gap
FWRD, UPS

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FWRD
UPS
Difference
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Performance By Year
FWRD, UPS

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FWRD
UPS
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