United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS
Intrinsic Value
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company that provides supply chain management services. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
UPS
stock under the Base Case scenario is
154.42
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 142.74 USD,
United Parcel Service Inc
is
Undervalued by 8%.
United Parcel Service Inc's market capitalization is 121.7B USD.
UPS stock price is 142.74 USD.
UPS stock price (142.74 USD) is 8% less than its Intrinsic Value (154.42 USD).
UPS stock price (142.74 USD) is 24% less than its Relative Value (187.34 USD). Open Relative Valuation
UPS has upside potential of 13% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
UPS has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
UPS's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 13%.
UPS has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
UPS's Revenue has been growing by 2% per year for the last 3 years.
UPS's D/E (Debt to Equity) is equal to 1.09.
UPS's short-term assets (19B USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (18B USD).
UPS's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 15% to 13%.
UPS's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 5% per year over the next 3 years.
UPS's Revenue has dropped by 9% over the past 12 months.
UPS's long-term assets (71B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (54B USD).
UPS has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 17%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
UPS has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
UPS earns more than enough operating income (9B USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (762m USD).
UPS's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 36%.
UPS's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 99% to 36%.
UPS has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (19B USD) than cash and short-term investments (6B USD).
UPS has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
UPS's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 3.55.
UPS has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 78%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
Valuation Backtest
United Parcel Service Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
UPS
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
United Parcel Service Inc
| Current Assets | 19.4B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 6.1B |
| Receivables | 11.2B |
| Other Current Assets | 2.1B |
| Non-Current Assets | 51.4B |
| PP&E | 41.3B |
| Intangibles | 8.2B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 2B |
| Current Liabilities | 17.7B |
| Accounts Payable | 6.3B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 5.4B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 5.9B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 35.9B |
| Long-Term Debt | 18.9B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 17B |
Earnings Waterfall
United Parcel Service Inc
|
Revenue
|
91B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-18.4B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
72.5B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-63.4B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
9.1B
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-2.4B
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
6.7B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
UPS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
United Parcel Service Inc's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
United Parcel Service Inc's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
UPS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
United Parcel Service Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
United Parcel Service Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
UPS Price Targets Summary
United Parcel Service Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
UPS
is 161.67 USD
with a low forecast of 101 USD and a high forecast of 215.25 USD.
Ownership
UPS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
UPS Price
United Parcel Service Inc
| Average Annual Return | 17.09% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 27.14% |
| Max Drawdown | -39% |
| Market Capitalization | 121.7B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 853 140 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 1.43% |
UPS News
Last Important Events
United Parcel Service Inc
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc
Company Profile
United Parcel Service Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company that provides supply chain management services. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and currently employs 534,000 full-time employees. Its segments include U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. U.S. Domestic Package and International Package are together referred to as its global small package operations. Its global small package operations provide delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight via air and ground services. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers small package delivery services in the United States and offers a spectrum of United States domestic guaranteed air and ground package transportation services. The International Package segment consists of its small package operations in Europe, Asia Pacific, Canada, Latin America and Indian sub-continent, Middle East and Africa (ISMEA). Its remaining businesses include Supply Chain Solutions, which consists of its forwarding, truckload brokerage, logistics and distribution, and other businesses.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
UPS
stock under the Base Case scenario is
154.42
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 142.74 USD,
United Parcel Service Inc
is
Undervalued by 8%.
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