First Time Loading...

United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS

Watchlist Manager
United Parcel Service Inc Logo
United Parcel Service Inc
NYSE:UPS
Watchlist
Price: 145.18 USD 0.29% Market Closed
Updated: Jul 21, 2024
Have any thoughts about
United Parcel Service Inc?
Write Note

Intrinsic Value

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company that provides supply chain management services. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one UPS stock under the Base Case scenario is 162.16 USD. Compared to the current market price of 145.18 USD, United Parcel Service Inc is Undervalued by 10%.

Key Points:
UPS Intrinsic Value
Base Case
162.16 USD
Undervaluation 10%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
United Parcel Service Inc

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling UPS stocks based on their intrinsic value.

Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.

Run Backtest
Settings
Valuation Methods
Buy/Sell Thresholds
Buy When:
%
Sell When:
%
B
S
Run Backtest
How does it work?

Fundamental Analysis

Notes Created
1
Decisions Made
1
Last Decision Profit
7%
Decision Success Rate
100%

UPS Q1 2024 Performance and Outlook
Earnings Call Summary

UPS Q1 2024 Performance and Outlook

UPS reported consolidated revenue of $21.7 billion in Q1 2024, down 5.3% year-over-year, and an operating profit of $1.7 billion, a decline of 31.5% due to higher labor costs. Despite revenue drops, the company expects revenue of $92-94.5 billion and an operating margin of 10-10.6% for the full year. The upcoming USPS air cargo contract is expected to enhance margins. UPS is also targeting revenue growth to $108-114 billion by 2026. Cost reduction measures and productivity improvements are being actively pursued to maintain profitability despite challenging market conditions.

Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
United Parcel Service Inc

Current Assets 16.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 4.5B
Receivables 9.6B
Other Current Assets 2.1B
Non-Current Assets 51.5B
PP&E 41.4B
Intangibles 8.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.9B
Current Liabilities 14.7B
Accounts Payable 5.4B
Accrued Liabilities 5.5B
Other Current Liabilities 3.8B
Non-Current Liabilities 36B
Long-Term Debt 18.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 17.2B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
United Parcel Service Inc

Revenue
89.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-17.9B USD
Gross Profit
71.8B USD
Operating Expenses
-63.6B USD
Operating Income
8.2B USD
Other Expenses
-2.3B USD
Net Income
5.9B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

UPS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

United Parcel Service Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
62/100
Profitability
Score

United Parcel Service Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

UPS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

United Parcel Service Inc's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Average D/E
51/100
Solvency
Score

United Parcel Service Inc's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

UPS Price Targets Summary
United Parcel Service Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast UPS stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UPS is 163.41 USD with a low forecast of 101 USD and a high forecast of 215.25 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
101 USD
30% Downside
Average
Price Target
163.41 USD
13% Upside
Highest
Price Target
215.25 USD
48% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for UPS?

Click here to dive deeper.

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

UPS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Price Appreciation

UPS Price
United Parcel Service Inc

1M 1M
+6%
6M 6M
-8%
1Y 1Y
-22%
3Y 3Y
-27%
5Y 5Y
+58%
10Y 10Y
+83%
Annual Price Range
145.18
52w Low
134.2
52w High
188.34
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 19.26%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 26.23%
Max Drawdown -39%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 123.8B USD
Shares Outstanding 855 560 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 1.99%

UPS Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

UPS News

Other Videos

Last Important Events
United Parcel Service Inc

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

All
Positive
Negative

Sentiment Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc

Today
Last 7 Days 7D
Last 30 Days 30D
Last 90 Days 90D

Company Profile

United Parcel Service Inc Logo
United Parcel Service Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Logistics & Transportation

Market Cap

123.8B USD

Dividend Yield

4.48%

Description

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company that provides supply chain management services. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and currently employs 534,000 full-time employees. Its segments include U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. U.S. Domestic Package and International Package are together referred to as its global small package operations. Its global small package operations provide delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight via air and ground services. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers small package delivery services in the United States and offers a spectrum of United States domestic guaranteed air and ground package transportation services. The International Package segment consists of its small package operations in Europe, Asia Pacific, Canada, Latin America and Indian sub-continent, Middle East and Africa (ISMEA). Its remaining businesses include Supply Chain Solutions, which consists of its forwarding, truckload brokerage, logistics and distribution, and other businesses.

Contact

GEORGIA
Atlanta
55 Glenlake Parkway Ne
+14048286000.0
https://www.ups.com/

IPO

1999-11-10

Employees

534 000

Officers

CEO & Director
Ms. Carol B. Tome
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Brian O. Newman
EVP and Chief Digital & Technology Officer
Mr. Bala Subramanian
Executive VP and President of International, Healthcare & Supply Chain Solutions
Ms. Kathleen M. Gutmann
Executive VP & President of U.S. and UPS Airline
Mr. Nando Cesarone
Investor Relations Officer
Ken Cook
Show More
Executive VP, Chief Legal, Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretary
Mr. Norman M. Brothers Jr.
Executive VP, Chief Diversity, Equity and Inclusion Officer & Chief Human Resources Officer
Mr. Darrell L. Ford
Managing Director of Nigerian Operations & Special Projects Manager for West Africa
Mr. Ralph Ozoude
Managing Director of UPS Korea
Mr. Harrison Park
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one UPS stock?

The intrinsic value of one UPS stock under the Base Case scenario is 162.16 USD.

Is UPS stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 145.18 USD, United Parcel Service Inc is Undervalued by 10%.