` Comparison: RAIL vs CMI - Alpha Spread

RAIL
vs
CMI

Over the past 12 months, RAIL has underperformed CMI, delivering a return of +31% compared to the CMI's +65% growth.

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RAIL
CMI
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Valuation Comparison

RAIL Intrinsic Value
28.06 USD
Undervaluation 71%
Intrinsic Value
Price
CMI Intrinsic Value
365.912 USD
Overvaluation 31%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
FreightCar America Inc
NASDAQ:RAIL
8.19 USD
Cummins Inc
NYSE:CMI
531.755 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
RAIL, CMI

RAIL
CMI
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
FreightCar America Inc
Revenue
Cummins Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
RAIL, CMI

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CMI
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
FreightCar America Inc
NASDAQ:RAIL
Cummins Inc
NYSE:CMI
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

RAIL
15.1%
CMI
25.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

Operating Margin

RAIL
7.4%
CMI
12%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

Net Margin

RAIL
17%
CMI
8.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

FCF Margin

RAIL
5.3%
CMI
7.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

ROE

RAIL
-106.7%
CMI
25.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

ROA

RAIL
29.7%
CMI
8.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

ROIC

RAIL
54.4%
CMI
11.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

ROCE

RAIL
21.6%
CMI
18%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
FreightCar America Inc
Cummins Inc

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
RAIL, CMI

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Performance Gap
RAIL, CMI

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RAIL
CMI
Difference
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Performance By Year
RAIL, CMI

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RAIL
CMI
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett