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FreightCar America Inc
NASDAQ:RAIL

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FreightCar America Inc Logo
FreightCar America Inc
NASDAQ:RAIL
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Price: 3.89 USD Market Closed
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

Intrinsic Value

FreightCar America, Inc. engages in the manufacture of railcars and railcar components. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one RAIL stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.39 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.89 USD, FreightCar America Inc is Undervalued by 82%.

Key Points:
RAIL Intrinsic Value
Base Case
21.39 USD
Undervaluation 82%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
FreightCar America Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

FreightCar America's Transformation Yields Growth
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

FreightCar America's Transformation Yields Growth

FreightCar America, amid its ongoing transformation, saw a notable shift from an adjusted EBITDA per railcar loss in 2019 to earning $6,658 in 2023. Even with a marginal 2% revenue drop to $358.1 million due to temporary border disruptions, the company managed an adjusted EBITDA of $20.1 million, a 139% surge from last year. The firm improved its gross margin by 460 basis points to an industry peak of 11.7%. Facing a 4th quarter revenue dip due to the border closure, the company still lifted its gross margin by 600 basis points and grew the adjusted EBITDA by $5.3 million year-over-year. Optimism prevails with a projection to manufacture 4,000 to 4,400 railcars in 2024, leveraging new operational capacities. Boosting confidence, the company recorded its largest order intake since 2019, rounding up 3,491 railcars, and ended with a year-over-year increased backlog of nearly 20%.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
FreightCar America Inc

Current Assets 180.4m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 40.6m
Receivables 9.3m
Other Current Assets 130.5m
Non-Current Assets 79m
PP&E 77.2m
Other Non-Current Assets 1.8m
Current Liabilities 137.4m
Accounts Payable 86.9m
Accrued Liabilities 7.3m
Other Current Liabilities 43.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 84.8m
Long-Term Debt 41.3m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 43.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
FreightCar America Inc

Revenue
358.1m USD
Cost of Revenue
-316.3m USD
Gross Profit
41.8m USD
Operating Expenses
-27.5m USD
Operating Income
14.3m USD
Other Expenses
-37.9m USD
Net Income
-23.6m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
FreightCar America Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Table
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Fundamental Scores

RAIL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

FreightCar America Inc's profitability score is 29/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROIC is Increasing
Positive ROIC
Negative 1-Year Revenue Growth
29/100
Profitability
Score

FreightCar America Inc's profitability score is 29/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

RAIL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

FreightCar America Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Positive Net Debt
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
36/100
Solvency
Score

FreightCar America Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

RAIL Price Targets Summary
FreightCar America Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast RAIL stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RAIL is 4.08 USD with a low forecast of 3.03 USD and a high forecast of 5.25 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
3.03 USD
22% Downside
Average
Price Target
4.08 USD
5% Upside
Highest
Price Target
5.25 USD
35% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

RAIL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

RAIL Price
FreightCar America Inc

1M 1M
+29%
6M 6M
+46%
1Y 1Y
+29%
3Y 3Y
-20%
5Y 5Y
-37%
10Y 10Y
-82%
Annual Price Range
3.89
52w Low
2.27
52w High
3.89
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -1.54%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 57.72%
Max Drawdown -90%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 69.6m USD
Shares Outstanding 17 903 400
Percentage of Shares Shorted 14.9%

RAIL Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

Company Profile

FreightCar America Inc Logo
FreightCar America Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Machinery

Market Cap

69.6m USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

FreightCar America, Inc. engages in the manufacture of railcars and railcar components. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois and currently employs 997 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2005-04-06. The firm designs and manufactures a variety of railcar types for transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight products primarily in North America, including open top hoppers, covered hoppers, and gondolas along with intermodal and non-intermodal flat cars. The Company’s operations comprise two operating segments Manufacturing and Parts. The Company’s Manufacturing segment includes new railcar manufacturing, used railcar sales, railcar leasing and railcar rebuilds. The firm provides forged, cast and fabricated parts for all freight car types, including open top hoppers, covered hoppers, auto carriers, gondolas, intermodal flat cars and box cars. The firm develops products, such as coil covers, forged knuckles and electronic door openers.

Contact

ILLINOIS
Chicago
125 South Wacker Drive, Suite 1500
+18004582235.0
http://www.freightcaramerica.com/

IPO

2005-04-06

Employees

997

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. James R. Meyer
VP of Finance, CFO & Treasurer
Mr. Michael Anthony Riordan
Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. W. Matthew Tonn
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Nicholas J. Randall
Chief Accounting Officer, Corporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Juan Carlos Fuentes Sierra
VP of Human Resources, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Celia R. Perez J.D.
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Senior Vice President of Railcar Sales & Marketing
Mr. Steve Cianci
Director
Mr. Jesus Salvador Gil Benavides
Investor
Ms. Lisa Fortuna
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one RAIL stock?

The intrinsic value of one RAIL stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.39 USD.

Is RAIL stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 3.89 USD, FreightCar America Inc is Undervalued by 82%.