` Comparison: ARI, AGNC - Alpha Spread

ARI
vs
AGNC

Over the past 12 months, ARI has underperformed AGNC, delivering a return of -5% compared to the AGNC's +2% growth.

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ARI
AGNC
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

ARI Intrinsic Value
34.41 USD
Undervaluation 72%
Intrinsic Value
Price
AGNC Intrinsic Value
22.03 USD
Undervaluation 56%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
NYSE:ARI
9.8 USD
AGNC Investment Corp
NASDAQ:AGNC
9.74 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
ARI, AGNC

ARI
AGNC
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
Revenue
AGNC Investment Corp
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
ARI, AGNC

ARI
AGNC
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
NYSE:ARI
AGNC Investment Corp
NASDAQ:AGNC
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

ARI
37.5%
AGNC
14.5%

Operating Margin

ARI
17.2%
AGNC
11.1%

Net Margin

ARI
-0.6%
AGNC
6.9%

FCF Margin

ARI
3.9%
AGNC
7.6%

ROE

ARI
-0.2%
AGNC
2.5%

ROA

ARI
-0.1%
AGNC
0.3%

ROIC

ARI
1.5%
AGNC
0.4%

ROCE

ARI
1.7%
AGNC
3.9%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
ARI, AGNC

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Performance Gap
ARI, AGNC

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ARI
AGNC
Difference
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Performance By Year
ARI, AGNC

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ARI
AGNC
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