` Comparison: OGFGF vs SO - Alpha Spread

OGFGF
vs
SO

Over the past 12 months, OGFGF has significantly outperformed SO, delivering a return of +34% compared to the SO's +8% growth.

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OGFGF
SO
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Valuation Comparison

OGFGF Intrinsic Value
8.94 USD
Undervaluation 5%
Intrinsic Value
Price
SO Intrinsic Value
103.4 USD
Undervaluation 7%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Origin Energy Ltd
OTC:OGFGF
8.5 USD
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
95.75 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
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Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
OGFGF, SO

OGFGF
SO
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Origin Energy Ltd
Revenue
Southern Co
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
OGFGF, SO

OGFGF
SO
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Origin Energy Ltd
OTC:OGFGF
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

OGFGF
20.1%
SO
89.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

Operating Margin

OGFGF
6.9%
SO
25.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

Net Margin

OGFGF
6.2%
SO
15.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

FCF Margin

OGFGF
1.5%
SO
-6.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

ROE

OGFGF
10.2%
SO
13.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

ROA

OGFGF
5%
SO
3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

ROIC

OGFGF
5.8%
SO
4.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

ROCE

OGFGF
7%
SO
5.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Origin Energy Ltd
Southern Co

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
OGFGF, SO

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Performance Gap
OGFGF, SO

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OGFGF
SO
Difference
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Performance By Year
OGFGF, SO

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OGFGF
SO
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