` Comparison: AGS vs ULTA - Alpha Spread

AGS
vs
ULTA

Over the past 12 months, AGS has underperformed ULTA, delivering a return of +45% compared to the ULTA's +85% growth.

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AGS
ULTA
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Valuation Comparison

AGS Intrinsic Value
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ULTA Intrinsic Value
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Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Hour Glass Ltd
SGX:AGS
2.26 SGD
Ulta Beauty Inc
NASDAQ:ULTA
680.745 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
AGS, ULTA

AGS
ULTA
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Hour Glass Ltd
Revenue
Ulta Beauty Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
AGS, ULTA

AGS
ULTA
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Hour Glass Ltd
SGX:AGS
Ulta Beauty Inc
NASDAQ:ULTA
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

AGS
31%
ULTA
39.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

Operating Margin

AGS
15.5%
ULTA
13.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

Net Margin

AGS
12.1%
ULTA
9.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

FCF Margin

AGS
15%
ULTA
8.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

ROE

AGS
16.2%
ULTA
47.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

ROA

AGS
12%
ULTA
18.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

ROIC

AGS
15.3%
ULTA
22%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

ROCE

AGS
18.3%
ULTA
36.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Hour Glass Ltd
Ulta Beauty Inc

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
AGS, ULTA

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Performance Gap
AGS, ULTA

Performance Gap Between AGS and ULTA
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Performance By Year
AGS, ULTA

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AGS
ULTA
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