` Comparison: 4251 vs 2011 - Alpha Spread

4251
vs
C
2011

Over the past 12 months, Keiwa Inc has significantly outperformed China Apex Group Ltd, delivering a return of +43% compared to the China Apex Group Ltd's 14% drop.

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4251
2011
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Valuation Comparison

Intrinsic Value
1 592.95 JPY
Undervaluation 22%
Intrinsic Value
Price ¥1 246
C
Intrinsic Value
0.64 HKD
Overvaluation 44%
Intrinsic Value
Price HK$1.13
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Multiples-Based Value Wall St Target
Keiwa Inc
TSE:4251
1 246 JPY
C
China Apex Group Ltd
HKEX:2011
1.13 HKD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
4251, 2011

4251
2011
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Keiwa Inc
Revenue
C
China Apex Group Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
4251, 2011

4251
2011
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Keiwa Inc
TSE:4251
C
China Apex Group Ltd
HKEX:2011
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

Keiwa Inc
42.9%
China Apex Group Ltd
54.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

Operating Margin

Keiwa Inc
20.9%
China Apex Group Ltd
13.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

Net Margin

Keiwa Inc
11.1%
China Apex Group Ltd
6.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

FCF Margin

Keiwa Inc
2.7%
China Apex Group Ltd
-2.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

ROE

Keiwa Inc
9.7%
China Apex Group Ltd
12.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

ROA

Keiwa Inc
7.2%
China Apex Group Ltd
4.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

ROIC

Keiwa Inc
16%
China Apex Group Ltd
8.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

ROCE

Keiwa Inc
16.7%
China Apex Group Ltd
13.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Keiwa Inc
C
China Apex Group Ltd

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
4251, 2011

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Performance Gap
4251, 2011

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4251
2011
Difference
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Performance By Year
4251, 2011

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4251
2011
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

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