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Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG

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Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
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Price: 21.34 EUR -1.66% Market Closed
Updated: Jul 27, 2024
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Intrinsic Value

Universal Music Group NV engages in the music entertainment business. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one UMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.34 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 21.34 EUR, Universal Music Group NV is Undervalued by 9%.

Key Points:
UMG Intrinsic Value
Base Case
23.34 EUR
Undervaluation 9%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

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Universal Music Group NV

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Fundamental Analysis

UMG Reports Robust Growth in Q1 2024
Earnings Call Summary

UMG Reports Robust Growth in Q1 2024

In the first quarter of 2024, Universal Music Group (UMG) saw an 8% increase in revenue and a 16% rise in adjusted EBITDA. The improved margins were propelled by strong performances in subscription and ad-supported streaming, which grew by nearly 13% and 10%, respectively. Key artist achievements, such as new albums from Ariana Grande and Taylor Swift, significantly contributed to this growth. UMG also anticipates significant benefits from a recent strategic organizational redesign and expects to achieve €75 million in cost savings for the year.

Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Universal Music Group NV

Current Assets 4.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 504m
Receivables 2.3B
Other Current Assets 1.3B
Non-Current Assets 9B
Long-Term Investments 1.7B
PP&E 493m
Intangibles 6.4B
Other Non-Current Assets 486m
Current Liabilities 6.3B
Accounts Payable 5.7B
Other Current Liabilities 556m
Non-Current Liabilities 3.9B
Long-Term Debt 2.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.7B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Universal Music Group NV

Revenue
11.1B EUR
Cost of Revenue
-6.2B EUR
Gross Profit
4.9B EUR
Operating Expenses
-3.5B EUR
Operating Income
1.4B EUR
Other Expenses
-159m EUR
Net Income
1.3B EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Universal Music Group NV

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

UMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Universal Music Group NV's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
66/100
Profitability
Score

Universal Music Group NV's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

UMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Universal Music Group NV's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
50/100
Solvency
Score

Universal Music Group NV's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

UMG Price Targets Summary
Universal Music Group NV

Wall Street analysts forecast UMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UMG is 30.5 EUR with a low forecast of 12.12 EUR and a high forecast of 35.7 EUR.

Lowest
Price Target
12.12 EUR
43% Downside
Average
Price Target
30.5 EUR
43% Upside
Highest
Price Target
35.7 EUR
67% Upside
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Competitive Landscape

Price Appreciation

UMG Price
Universal Music Group NV

1M 1M
-26%
6M 6M
-24%
1Y 1Y
-2%
3Y 3Y
-9%
5Y 5Y
-9%
10Y 10Y
-9%
Annual Price Range
21.01
52w Low
21.01
52w High
29.41
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -0.46%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 8.87%
Max Drawdown -38%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 38.3B EUR
Shares Outstanding 1 829 045 065
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

UMG Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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UMG News

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Last Important Events
Universal Music Group NV

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

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Sentiment Analysis
Universal Music Group NV

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Company Profile

Universal Music Group NV

Country

Netherlands

Industry

Media

Market Cap

38.3B EUR

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Universal Music Group NV engages in the music entertainment business. The company is headquartered in Hilversum, Noord-Holland. The company went IPO on 2021-09-21. The firm is focused on the discovery and development of artists and songwriters and the marketing, promotion, distribution, sales and licensing of audio and audio-visual content. Universal Music Group BV includes music publishing companies Universal Music Publishing Group. Its recorded music catalog consists more than three million recordings includes a wide array of performers such as ABBA, Louis Armstrong, The Beatles, The Beach Boys, The Bee Gees, Ariana Grande, Imagine Dragons, Lady Gaga, James Brown, Bon Jovi, Neil Diamond, Marvin Gaye, Drake, Billie Eilish, Eminem, Selena Gomez Guns N’ Roses, Elton John, Bob Marley, Paul McCartney, Nirvana, Luciano Pavarotti, Queen, The Rolling Stones, Frank Sinatra, U2, Amy Winehouse and Stevie Wonder among others.

Contact

NOORD-HOLLAND
Hilversum
S-Gravelandseweg 80
https://universalmusic.nl/

IPO

2021-09-21

Employees

8 800

Officers

Chairman & CEO
Sir Lucian Grainge CBE
Deputy CEO, Corporate & Executive Director
Mr. Vincent Vallejo
Executive VP, CFO & President of Operations
Mr. Boyd Muir
Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. Will Tanous
General Counsel and Executive VP of Business & Legal Affairs
Mr. Jeffrey Harleston
Executive VP and Chief People & Inclusion Officer
Mr. Eric Hutcherson
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Executive VP & Chief Digital Officer
Mr. Michael Nash
Executive VP & Controller
Mr. Philippe Flageul
Chairman & CEO for Universal Music Publishing Group
Ms. Jody Gerson
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one UMG stock?

The intrinsic value of one UMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.34 EUR.

Is UMG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 21.34 EUR, Universal Music Group NV is Undervalued by 9%.