Almonty Industries Inc
ASX:AII

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Almonty Industries Inc Logo
Almonty Industries Inc
ASX:AII
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Price: 9.895 AUD -2.99%
Market Cap: 2.6B AUD

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Dec 12, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one AII stock is 23.338 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 9.895 AUD, the stock is Undervalued by 58%.

AII DCF Value
Base Case
23.338 AUD
Undervaluation 58%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
23.338
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 23.338 AUD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 875.3m CAD. The present value of the terminal value is 4.9B CAD. The total present value equals 5.8B CAD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 5.8B CAD
+ Cash & Equivalents 111.6m CAD
Firm Value 5.9B CAD
- Debt 174.4m CAD
Equity Value 5.7B CAD
/ Shares Outstanding 265.8m
Value per Share 21.425 CAD
CAD / AUD Exchange Rate 1.0893
AII DCF Value 23.338 AUD
Undervalued by 58%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
135.5m 1.3B
Operating Income
-43.2m 698m
FCFF
-41.4m 522.9m

What is the DCF value of one AII stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one AII stock is 23.338 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 9.895 AUD, the stock is Undervalued by 58%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Almonty Industries Inc's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 5.8B CAD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 23.338 AUD per share.

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