ALM Relative Valuation - Alma Metals Ltd

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Price: 0.012 AUD Market Closed

Market Cap: AU$22.4m

	Alma Metals Ltd ASX:ALM	AU
	Polynovo Ltd ASX:PNV	AU

Multiples-Based Value

The Multiples-Based Value of one ALM stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.0005 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 0.012 AUD, Alma Metals Ltd is Overvalued by 96%.

Multiples-Based Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

What is Relative Valuation?

How is Multiples-Based Value calculated?

ALM Multiples-Based Value

Base Case

Overvaluation 96%

Multiples-Based Value

Price

Worst Case

Base Case

Best Case

Valuation Multiples

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Multiples Across Competitors

All Multiples

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

Forward Multiples

			Market Cap	P/S	P/E	EV/EBITDA	EV/EBIT
AU		Alma Metals Ltd ASX:ALM	21m AUD	433	-5.7	-4.6	-4.6
ID		Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk PT F:A640	171.4B EUR	105.9	443.1	377	377
CN		China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd SSE:601088	947.5B CNY	3.2	18.4	11.4	11.4
ZA	E	Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX	72.7B ZAR	1.7	9.6	5.9	8.1
CA	C	Cameco Corp NYSE:CCJ	45.3B USD	17.7	104.3	67	98.7
CN		Shaanxi Coal Industry Co Ltd SSE:601225	254.4B CNY	1.4	11.1	8.6	8.6
CN		China Coal Energy Co Ltd SSE:601898	237.3B CNY	1.5	13.8	7.9	7.9
CN		Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd SSE:600188	206B CNY	1.5	20.3	14.1	14.1
IN		Coal India Ltd NSE:COALINDIA	2.7T INR	1.9	9.2	6	8
ID		Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk PT IDX:DSSA	487T IDR	10.4	119.4	77	77
ID		Bayan Resources Tbk PT IDX:BYAN	415T IDR	7.2	32.1	23.8	23.8

				Revenue Growth	P/S to Growth
AU		Alma Metals Ltd ASX:ALM	Average P/S: 53.2 433	N/A	N/A
ID		Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk PT F:A640	105.9	N/A	N/A
CN		China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd SSE:601088	3.2	-2%	N/A
ZA	E	Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX	1.7	N/A	N/A
CA	C	Cameco Corp NYSE:CCJ	17.7	5%	3.5
CN		Shaanxi Coal Industry Co Ltd SSE:601225	1.4	-2%	N/A
CN		China Coal Energy Co Ltd SSE:601898	1.5	-5%	N/A
CN		Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd SSE:600188	1.5	1%	1.5
IN		Coal India Ltd NSE:COALINDIA	1.9	4%	0.5
ID		Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk PT IDX:DSSA	10.4	N/A	N/A
ID		Bayan Resources Tbk PT IDX:BYAN	7.2	N/A	N/A

				Earnings Growth	PEG
AU		Alma Metals Ltd ASX:ALM	Average P/E: 78.1 Negative Multiple: -5.7	N/A	N/A
ID		Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk PT F:A640	443.1	N/A	N/A
CN		China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd SSE:601088	18.4	-3%	N/A
ZA	E	Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX	9.6	N/A	N/A
CA	C	Cameco Corp NYSE:CCJ	104.3	31%	3.4
CN		Shaanxi Coal Industry Co Ltd SSE:601225	11.1	-19%	N/A
CN		China Coal Energy Co Ltd SSE:601898	13.8	-3%	N/A
CN		Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd SSE:600188	20.3	-6%	N/A
IN		Coal India Ltd NSE:COALINDIA	9.2	-1%	N/A
ID		Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk PT IDX:DSSA	119.4	N/A	N/A
ID		Bayan Resources Tbk PT IDX:BYAN	32.1	N/A	N/A

				EBITDA Growth	EV/EBITDA to Growth
AU		Alma Metals Ltd ASX:ALM	Average EV/EBITDA: 59.9 Negative Multiple: -4.6	N/A	N/A
ID		Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk PT F:A640	377	N/A	N/A
CN		China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd SSE:601088	11.4	7%	1.6
ZA	E	Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX	5.9	N/A	N/A
CA	C	Cameco Corp NYSE:CCJ	67	41%	1.6
CN		Shaanxi Coal Industry Co Ltd SSE:601225	8.6	6%	1.4
CN		China Coal Energy Co Ltd SSE:601898	7.9	10%	0.8
CN		Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd SSE:600188	14.1	17%	0.8
IN		Coal India Ltd NSE:COALINDIA	6	-1%	N/A
ID		Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk PT IDX:DSSA	77	N/A	N/A
ID		Bayan Resources Tbk PT IDX:BYAN	23.8	N/A	N/A

				EBIT Growth	EV/EBIT to Growth
AU		Alma Metals Ltd ASX:ALM	Average EV/EBIT: 63.5 Negative Multiple: -4.6	N/A	N/A
ID		Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk PT F:A640	377	27%	14
CN		China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd SSE:601088	11.4	-3%	N/A
ZA	E	Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX	8.1	N/A	N/A
CA	C	Cameco Corp NYSE:CCJ	98.7	32%	3.1
CN		Shaanxi Coal Industry Co Ltd SSE:601225	8.6	-11%	N/A
CN		China Coal Energy Co Ltd SSE:601898	7.9	-3%	N/A
CN		Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd SSE:600188	14.1	-1%	N/A
IN		Coal India Ltd NSE:COALINDIA	8	-2%	N/A
ID		Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk PT IDX:DSSA	77	N/A	N/A
ID		Bayan Resources Tbk PT IDX:BYAN	23.8	N/A	N/A

Alma Metals Ltd
ASX:ALM

Multiples-Based Value

Valuation Multiples

Multiples Across Competitors

ALM Competitors Multiples
Alma Metals Ltd Competitors

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Alma Metals Ltd ASX:ALM

Multiples-Based Value

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ALM Competitors Multiples Alma Metals Ltd Competitors

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Alma Metals Ltd
ASX:ALM

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