Australian Vintage Ltd
ASX:AVG
Intrinsic Value
Australian Vintage Ltd. engages in wine making, wine marketing and vineyard management. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
AVG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.996
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.395 AUD,
Australian Vintage Ltd
is
Undervalued by 60%.
AVG could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Australian Vintage Ltd's market capitalization is 99.8m AUD.
AVG stock price is 0.395 AUD.
AVG stock price (0.395 AUD) is 60% less than its Intrinsic Value (0.996 AUD).
AVG stock price (0.395 AUD) is 71% less than its Relative Value (1.379 AUD). Open Relative Valuation
AVG has upside potential of 21% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
AVG's Revenue has dropped by 1% over the past 12 months.
AVG's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 2% per year over the next 3 years.
AVG has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
AVG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 5% to 2%.
AVG has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
AVG's Revenue has been falling by 3% per year for the last 3 years.
AVG has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 8%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
AVG has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
AVG's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 6% to -2%.
AVG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 2%.
AVG's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -2%.
AVG has a very low three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 4%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
AVG has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
AVG's long-term assets (496m AUD) exceed its long-term liabilties (199m AUD).
AVG's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.49.
AVG has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (144m AUD) than cash and short-term investments (10m AUD).
AVG's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.94.
AVG's short-term assets (250m AUD) exceed its short-term liabilties (54m AUD).
AVG doesn't generate enough operating income (11m AUD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (-10m AUD).
Valuation Backtest
Australian Vintage Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AVG
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Australian Vintage Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Australian Vintage Ltd
| Current Assets | 250.4m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.8m |
| Receivables | 61.5m |
| Other Current Assets | 179.1m |
| Non-Current Assets | 245.1m |
| Long-Term Investments | 3.3m |
| PP&E | 146.3m |
| Intangibles | 45.3m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 50.2m |
| Current Liabilities | 54.4m |
| Accounts Payable | 39.9m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 14.5m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 144.7m |
| Long-Term Debt | 143.9m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 780k |
Earnings Waterfall
Australian Vintage Ltd
|
Revenue
|
257.7m
AUD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-182.7m
AUD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
75m
AUD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-63.9m
AUD
|
|
Operating Income
|
11.1m
AUD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-17.2m
AUD
|
|
Net Income
|
-6.1m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Australian Vintage Ltd
AVG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Australian Vintage Ltd's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Australian Vintage Ltd's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AVG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Australian Vintage Ltd's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Australian Vintage Ltd's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AVG Price Targets Summary
Australian Vintage Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AVG
is 0.479 AUD
with a low forecast of 0.414 AUD and a high forecast of 0.578 AUD.
Shareholder Return
AVG Price
Australian Vintage Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 13.44% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 26.12% |
| Max Drawdown | -57% |
| Market Capitalization | 99.8m AUD |
| Shares Outstanding | 252 638 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Australian Vintage Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Australian Vintage Ltd. engages in wine making, wine marketing and vineyard management. The company is headquartered in Adelaide, South Australia. The firm's segments include Australia/North America Packaged, UK/Europe, Cellar Door, Australasia/North America bulk wine and processing, and Vineyards. The Australia/North America Packaged segment supplies packaged wine within Australia, New Zealand, Asia and North America through retail and wholesale channels. The UK/Europe segment supplies packaged and bulk wine in the United Kingdom and Europe through retail and distributor channels. The Cellar Door segment supplies wine direct to the consumer through regional outlets. The Australasia/North America bulk wine and processing segment supplies bulk wine, grapes, concentrate and winery processing services throughout Australia, New Zealand, Asia and North America. The Vineyards segment provides vineyard management and maintenance services within Australia.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AVG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.996
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.395 AUD,
Australian Vintage Ltd
is
Undervalued by 60%.
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