Cedar Woods Properties Ltd
ASX:CWP
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
CWP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
15.27
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 7.4 AUD,
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd
is
Undervalued by 52%.
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Fundamental Analysis
A downturn in the Western Australian economy, which remains critical to Cedar Woods’ revenue, could hit the company’s land and housing developments particularly hard due to local reliance on the resources sector and slower migration trends.
Escalating costs of construction materials and labor have the potential to erode margins in the near term, especially for projects in more remote development locations where Cedar Woods lacks supply chain economies of scale.
If competition intensifies among regional developers and large national property players, Cedar Woods may face pricing pressure, threatening to reduce the profitability of its pipeline of medium-to-large residential communities.
Cedar Woods’ diversified portfolio, spanning major Australian growth corridors across Victoria, Queensland, South Australia, and Western Australia, provides a hedge against regional economic cycles and enhances its long-term resilience.
The company’s proven track record in master-planned communities and medium-density housing projects positions it to benefit from Australia’s persistent housing undersupply, particularly in regions favoring urban infill developments.
Strong relationships with government bodies and local councils help Cedar Woods secure prime development sites and navigate planning approvals more efficiently, enabling it to bring projects to market ahead of competitors.
Earnings Waterfall
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd
Wall St
Price Targets
CWP Price Targets Summary
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CWP
is 9.16 AUD
with a low forecast of 6.49 AUD and a high forecast of 10.59 AUD.
The intrinsic value of one
CWP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
15.27
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 7.4 AUD,
Cedar Woods Properties Ltd
is
Undervalued by 52%.
