New Century Resources Ltd
ASX:NCZ
Intrinsic Value
New Century Resources Ltd.is a base metal development company. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
NCZ
stock under the Base Case scenario is
7.15
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 1.1 AUD,
New Century Resources Ltd
is
Undervalued by 85%.
NCZ could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
New Century Resources Ltd's market capitalization is 144.1m AUD.
NCZ stock price is 1.1 AUD.
NCZ stock price (1.1 AUD) is 85% less than its Intrinsic Value (7.15 AUD).
NCZ has upside potential of 227% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
NCZ's short-term assets (140m AUD) exceed its short-term liabilties (140m AUD).
NCZ's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
NCZ's Revenue has grown by 13% over the past 12 months.
NCZ's long-term assets (463m AUD) exceed its long-term liabilties (360m AUD).
NCZ has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
NCZ's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -4% to 10%.
NCZ has a very low three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 4%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
NCZ's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 23% per year over the next 3 years.
NCZ has a very low three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 3%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
NCZ has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
NCZ's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -19% to -54%, and is approaching profitability.
NCZ has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
NCZ's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -54%.
NCZ has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
NCZ's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.13.
NCZ has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (95m AUD) than debt (13m AUD).
NCZ's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -0.18.
NCZ doesn't generate enough operating income (30m AUD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (-15m AUD).
Valuation Backtest
New Century Resources Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
NCZ
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
New Century Resources Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
New Century Resources Ltd
| Current Assets | 140.3m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 95.2m |
| Receivables | 4.7m |
| Other Current Assets | 40.5m |
| Non-Current Assets | 322.6m |
| Long-Term Investments | 36.2m |
| PP&E | 284.6m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 1.8m |
| Current Liabilities | 140.1m |
| Accounts Payable | 81.5m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 4.5m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 54.1m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 219.9m |
| Long-Term Debt | 12.9m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 207m |
Earnings Waterfall
New Century Resources Ltd
|
Revenue
|
389.2m
AUD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-197.2m
AUD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
192m
AUD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-161.6m
AUD
|
|
Operating Income
|
30.3m
AUD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-83.7m
AUD
|
|
Net Income
|
-53.4m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
New Century Resources Ltd
What is Free Cash Flow?
NCZ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
New Century Resources Ltd's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
New Century Resources Ltd's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NCZ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
New Century Resources Ltd's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
New Century Resources Ltd's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NCZ Price Targets Summary
New Century Resources Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
NCZ
is 3.6 AUD
.
Shareholder Return
NCZ Price
New Century Resources Ltd
| Average Annual Return | -38.47% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 28.51% |
| Max Drawdown | -94% |
| Market Capitalization | 144.1m AUD |
| Shares Outstanding | 134 980 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
New Century Resources Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
New Century Resources Ltd.is a base metal development company. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Victoria. The company went IPO on 2010-12-08. The firm is focused on exploration and development of its Century mine project. The Century mine project is located at Lawn Hill, 250km north-west of Mount Isa in the Lower Gulf of Carpentaria. Its properties include Century Tailings deposit, South Block deposit, Silver King lead-zinc-silver deposit, East Fault Block deposit and Phantom Hills Phosphate deposit. Century Tailings deposit is a single substantial tailings deposit. The Silver King lead-zinc-silver deposit is located approximately 1.5km south-west of the original Century open pit. The South Block deposit is located on the southernmost portion of the original Century ore body and directly adjacent to the existing processing plant. Phantom Hills Phosphate Deposit is located directly to the north-east of the Century open pit. The East Fault Block deposit is located 35 meters below the surface of the run-of-mine stockpile area.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
NCZ
stock under the Base Case scenario is
7.15
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 1.1 AUD,
New Century Resources Ltd
is
Undervalued by 85%.
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