NEXTDC Ltd
ASX:NXT

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NEXTDC Ltd
ASX:NXT
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Price: 13.805 AUD 1.96%
Market Cap: 8.8B AUD

Intrinsic Value

NXT's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

The intrinsic value of one NXT stock under the Base Case scenario is 4.171 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 13.805 AUD, NEXTDC Ltd is Overvalued by 70%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

NXT Intrinsic Value
4.171 AUD
Overvaluation 70%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Base Case Scenario

Valuation History
NEXTDC Ltd

What is Valuation History?
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Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

NEXTDC’s aggressive capital expansion into new data center facilities could face slower-than-anticipated customer uptake, creating a supply-demand imbalance that pressures occupancy rates and returns on investment.

Bull Theses

Demand for data center services in Australia continues to outpace supply, allowing NEXTDC to benefit from robust hyperscale and enterprise client expansion and maintain strong utilization rates in its growing footprint.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
NEXTDC Ltd

Current Assets 467.2m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 373m
Receivables 73.9m
Other Current Assets 20.3m
Non-Current Assets 4.8B
Long-Term Investments 7.1m
PP&E 4.7B
Intangibles 58.8m
Other Non-Current Assets 21.4m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
NEXTDC Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
NEXTDC Ltd

Revenue
445.6m AUD
Cost of Revenue
-110.5m AUD
Gross Profit
335.1m AUD
Operating Expenses
-277.3m AUD
Operating Income
57.8m AUD
Other Expenses
-122.1m AUD
Net Income
-64.3m AUD
Fundamental Scores

NXT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

NEXTDC Ltd's profitability score is 45/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ROIC is Increasing
Exceptional Gross Margin
Strong 3Y Average Gross Margin
Sustainable 3Y Average Operating Margin
45/100
Profitability
Score

NEXTDC Ltd's profitability score is 45/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

NXT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

NEXTDC Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
65/100
Solvency
Score

NEXTDC Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

NXT Price Targets Summary
NEXTDC Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast NXT stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXT is 20.222 AUD with a low forecast of 16.665 AUD and a high forecast of 29.778 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
16.665 AUD
21% Upside
Average
Price Target
20.222 AUD
46% Upside
Highest
Price Target
29.778 AUD
116% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

NEXTDC Ltd
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for NXT is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y

Ownership

NXT Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one NXT stock?

The intrinsic value of one NXT stock under the Base Case scenario is 4.171 AUD.

Is NXT stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 13.805 AUD, NEXTDC Ltd is Overvalued by 70%.

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