Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
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Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
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AU |
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Origin Energy Ltd (ORG) under the Base Case is 12.92 AUD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 11.57 AUD, the stock appears
Undervalued by 10% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using valuation multiples.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Origin Energy Does
Origin Energy is an Australian energy company that sells electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses. It also supplies energy services such as solar, batteries, and related products, and it has interests in gas production and electricity generation that help support those sales. In simple terms, it sits between energy producers and end users, helping source and deliver power and gas to customers.
- Headquarters
- Australia AU
- Employees
- 5 000
- IPO date
- Jul 13, 1961
Origin Energy has no economic moat
Customers can compare energy plans and switch retailers while staying on the same local power and gas networks, so Origin must compete for accounts against AGL, EnergyAustralia and smaller retailers. Its size and familiar name do not by themselves stop rivals from offering similar energy or winning customers.
Read the full moat analysis
Earnings Waterfall
Origin Energy Ltd
The intrinsic value for Origin Energy Ltd (ORG) under the Base Case is 12.92 AUD.
Compared with the current market price of 11.57 AUD, the stock appears Undervalued by 10% .