Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG

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Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
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Price: 11.025 AUD -2.69% Market Closed
Market Cap: 19B AUD

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one ORG stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.164 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 11.025 AUD, Origin Energy Ltd is Undervalued by 39%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

ORG Relative Value
Base Case
18.164 AUD
Undervaluation 39%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
12
vs Industry
58
Median 3Y
1
Median 5Y
0.8
Industry
1.7
Forward
1.1
vs History
26
vs Industry
45
Median 3Y
12.6
Median 5Y
8.3
Industry
15.1
Forward
16.5
vs History
11
vs Industry
14
Median 3Y
14.7
Median 5Y
8.1
Industry
7.4
vs History
7
vs Industry
15
Median 3Y
-5.2
Median 5Y
-7.3
Industry
14.6
vs History
11
vs Industry
34
Median 3Y
1.8
Median 5Y
1.5
Industry
1.4
vs History
7
vs Industry
68
Median 3Y
1.2
Median 5Y
1
Industry
2.9
Forward
1.4
vs History
46
vs Industry
53
Median 3Y
7.1
Median 5Y
6.5
Industry
7.9
vs History
36
vs Industry
15
Median 3Y
15.5
Median 5Y
13.8
Industry
10.6
Forward
7.4
vs History
36
vs Industry
26
Median 3Y
15.5
Median 5Y
13.8
Industry
15.3
Forward
14.4
vs History
17
vs Industry
19
Median 3Y
16.5
Median 5Y
11.8
Industry
11.3
vs History
vs Industry
Median 3Y
-24.8
Median 5Y
-16.3
Industry
16.8
vs History
7
vs Industry
23
Median 3Y
1.2
Median 5Y
0.9
Industry
0.9

Multiples Across Competitors

ORG Competitors Multiples
Origin Energy Ltd Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
19B AUD 1.1 12.8 19.7 19.7
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
167.2B USD 6.4 25.7 17.9 34.4
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
115.4B EUR 2.5 21.2 9.5 17.5
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
106.4B USD 4.3 38.8 22.9 32.2
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
87.5B EUR 0.7 8.7 5.3 7.3
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
95.8B USD 3.3 21.5 11.9 21.2
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
91.4B USD 2.9 18.5 10.8 20.1
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
61.4B USD 2.9 16.8 12 19.9
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
46.6B EUR 0.3 -2.5 -5.4 -3.2
US
Exelon Corp
NASDAQ:EXC
44.7B USD 1.8 15.8 10.5 18
US
Xcel Energy Inc
NASDAQ:XEL
43.3B USD 3 22.6 13.5 29.1
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
Average EV/EBITDA: 13.4
19.7
42%
0.5
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
17.9
19%
0.9
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
9.5
-2%
N/A
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
22.9
5%
4.6
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
5.3
7%
0.8
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
11.9
9%
1.3
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
10.8
8%
1.4
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
12
11%
1.1
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
Negative Multiple: -5.4 N/A N/A
US
Exelon Corp
NASDAQ:EXC
10.5
9%
1.2
US
Xcel Energy Inc
NASDAQ:XEL
13.5
15%
0.9
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
Average EV/EBIT: 21.9
19.7
12%
1.6
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
34.4
23%
1.5
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
17.5
0%
N/A
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
32.2
10%
3.2
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
7.3
7%
1
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
21.2
10%
2.1
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
20.1
9%
2.2
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
19.9
14%
1.4
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
Negative Multiple: -3.2 N/A N/A
US
Exelon Corp
NASDAQ:EXC
18
9%
2
US
Xcel Energy Inc
NASDAQ:XEL
29.1
23%
1.3