Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG

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Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
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Price: 11.2 AUD -1.32% Market Closed
Market Cap: 19.3B AUD

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one ORG stock under the Base Case scenario is 17.44 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 11.2 AUD, Origin Energy Ltd is Undervalued by 36%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

ORG Relative Value
Base Case
17.44 AUD
Undervaluation 36%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
1
vs Industry
58
Median 3Y
0.9
Median 5Y
0.8
Industry
1.7
Forward
1.1
vs History
11
vs Industry
45
Median 3Y
10.3
Median 5Y
8.3
Industry
14.7
Forward
12.6
vs History
15
vs Industry
14
Median 3Y
14.7
Median 5Y
7.5
Industry
7
vs History
3
vs Industry
15
Median 3Y
-5.5
Median 5Y
-9.4
Industry
13.5
vs History
3
vs Industry
34
Median 3Y
1.6
Median 5Y
1.2
Industry
1.4
vs History
0
vs Industry
68
Median 3Y
1
Median 5Y
0.9
Industry
2.8
Forward
1.3
vs History
38
vs Industry
53
Median 3Y
7.7
Median 5Y
6.2
Industry
7.7
vs History
25
vs Industry
15
Median 3Y
15.5
Median 5Y
15.7
Industry
10.3
Forward
6.2
vs History
25
vs Industry
26
Median 3Y
15.5
Median 5Y
15.7
Industry
14.9
Forward
11.3
vs History
15
vs Industry
19
Median 3Y
16.4
Median 5Y
10.4
Industry
10.8
vs History
vs Industry
Median 3Y
-23.9
Median 5Y
9.5
Industry
16.6
vs History
0
vs Industry
23
Median 3Y
1
Median 5Y
0.8
Industry
0.9

Multiples Across Competitors

ORG Competitors Multiples
Origin Energy Ltd Competitors

Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
19.2B AUD 1.1 13.5 21.8 21.8
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
151.9B USD 6 27.6 17.4 31.3
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
101.5B EUR 2.3 20.9 9 16.9
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
97.7B USD 3.5 21.2 12.4 21.5
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
96.4B USD 4 32.3 15.4 25.5
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
81.1B EUR 0.7 7.5 4.7 6.4
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
89.7B USD 2.9 19.2 11.5 20.6
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
54.4B USD 2.7 19.7 12.2 21.8
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
46.6B EUR 0.3 -2.5 -5.4 -3.2
US
Exelon Corp
NASDAQ:EXC
43.1B USD 1.8 15.9 10.6 18.8
US
Xcel Energy Inc
NASDAQ:XEL
38.5B USD 2.8 19.9 12.7 28.3
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
Average EV/EBITDA: 12.8
21.8
51%
0.4
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
17.4
19%
0.9
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
9
0%
N/A
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
12.4
7%
1.8
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
15.4
-4%
N/A
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
4.7
7%
0.7
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
11.5
7%
1.6
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
12.2
11%
1.1
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
Negative Multiple: -5.4 N/A N/A
US
Exelon Corp
NASDAQ:EXC
10.6
10%
1.1
US
Xcel Energy Inc
NASDAQ:XEL
12.7
14%
0.9
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
Average EV/EBIT: 21.3
21.8
21%
1
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
31.3
24%
1.3
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
16.9
2%
8.5
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
21.5
8%
2.7
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
25.5
2%
12.8
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
6.4
7%
0.9
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
20.6
9%
2.3
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
21.8
13%
1.7
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
Negative Multiple: -3.2 N/A N/A
US
Exelon Corp
NASDAQ:EXC
18.8
11%
1.7
US
Xcel Energy Inc
NASDAQ:XEL
28.3
21%
1.3