PDN Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Paladin Energy Ltd - Alpha Spread

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Price: 9.68 AUD -5% Market Closed

Market Cap: AU$4.3B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value for Paladin Energy Ltd (PDN) under the Base Case is 7.18 AUD. Compared with the current market price of 9.68 AUD, the stock appears Overvalued by 26% .

Multiples-Based Value

Multiples-Based Value

DCF suggests undervaluation, while multiples suggest overvaluation.

Why combine DCF with multiples? What is Intrinsic Value?

PDN Intrinsic Value

Overvaluation 26%

Intrinsic Value

Price AU$9.68

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Base Case

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20% below Intrinsic Value AU$5.74

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Current Price AU$9.68

Intrinsic Value AU$7.18

Margin of Safety 20% AU$5.74

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History Conclusion

Current Valuation

Average Value Growth

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Fundamental Analysis

Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Dec 2017 Jun 2018 Dec 2018 Jun 2019 Dec 2019 Jun 2020 Dec 2020 Jun 2021 Dec 2021 Jun 2022 Dec 2022 Jun 2023 Dec 2023 Jun 2024 Dec 2024 Mar 2025 Jun 2025 Sep 2025 Dec 2025

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Relative Valuation

Wall St Estimates

The intrinsic value for Paladin Energy Ltd (PDN) under the Base Case is 7.18 AUD.

Compared with the current market price of 9.68 AUD, the stock appears Overvalued by 26% .

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