Paragon Care Ltd
ASX:PGC

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Paragon Care Ltd
ASX:PGC
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Price: 0.205 AUD -2.38% Market Closed
Market Cap: AU$339.3m

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one PGC stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.592 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 0.205 AUD, Paragon Care Ltd is Undervalued by 65%.

PGC Intrinsic Value
0.592 AUD
Undervaluation 65%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Paragon Care Ltd

What is Valuation History?
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Fundamental Analysis

PGC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

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PGC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

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Paragon Care Ltd
ASX:PGC
AU
Health Care
Market Cap
339.3m AUD
IPO
Oct 15, 1999
AU
Health Care
Market Cap
339.3m AUD
IPO
Oct 15, 1999
Price
AU$
AU$
Bear Theses

The company's aggressive acquisition strategy has resulted in elevated goodwill and debt levels, raising concerns about integration challenges and potential impairment of assets, which could compress cash flows.

Significant reliance on external suppliers for specialized medical equipment heightens the risk of supply chain disruptions, potentially straining relationships with healthcare providers if product deliveries are delayed.

Intense competition from both multinational medtech giants with direct distribution channels and emerging local vendors could squeeze Paragon Care's profit margins and limit its pricing power over time.

Bull Theses

Paragon Care’s broad portfolio of medical consumables and equipment, coupled with its extensive distribution network, creates cross-selling opportunities that can strengthen market share and accelerate revenue growth.

Successful integration of acquired businesses, alongside ongoing cost synergies, may bolster the company’s operating margins as it continues to consolidate highly fragmented healthcare distribution markets.

Growing demand for advanced healthcare services in Australia, driven by aging demographics and increased healthcare spending, positions Paragon Care favorably to capture long-term volume and profit growth.

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How do you feel about PGC?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish
Financials
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Paragon Care Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Wall St
Price Targets

PGC Price Targets Summary
Paragon Care Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast PGC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGC is 0.505 AUD with a low forecast of 0.495 AUD and a high forecast of 0.525 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
0.495 AUD
141% Upside
Average
Price Target
0.505 AUD
146% Upside
Highest
Price Target
0.525 AUD
156% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for PGC is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
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Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y
What is the Intrinsic Value of one PGC stock?

The intrinsic value of one PGC stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.592 AUD.

Is PGC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 0.205 AUD, Paragon Care Ltd is Undervalued by 65%.

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